{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.737Z", "seo": { "title": "Colombia exports to China: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Colombia to China, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "COL", "country_name": "Colombia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "all_history_lane_count": 133, "current_lane_count": 46, "current_product_count": 46, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4187290978.752005, "attention_trade_usd": 3946807561.0023894, "critical_trade_usd": 10619192.56620548, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1065942315.4193246, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2600789238.55356, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 756024.759350304, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 328503910.48646873, "access_friction_trade_usd": 4187290978.752005, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 20, "high_volatility_lane_count": 30, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 21, "declining_demand_lane_count": 3, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 11, "access_friction_lane_count": 46, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8666835998923366, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 41.16179149150089, "product_concentration_hhi": 4114.390215535141, "top1_product_share_pct": 61.44712116314708, "top3_product_share_pct": 84.06569255711076, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 2572969761.1672716, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 14937.4755859375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878794, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878794, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12556, "buyer_population_latest": 1412359.985, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.1812362915018895, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.16286575688667, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.01746865158438471, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 44.900000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 46.43, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.25682573840879, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0.25360531713920825, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12556, "buyer_population_2024": 1412359.985 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 27971941.84832986, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 4030134.1340668267, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.59222611029611, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 8003972.330888831, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.60312497370867, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 9118731.04907481, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.927568363572629, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.17641940892981 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 17923032.01025145, "yoy_growth_pct": 96.55182189050228, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.44878148494378 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 30174335.26578567, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.35508215645005, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.636233103542445 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 23350878.850132365, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.613444026355555, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.8116060971027 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 29598894.78822967, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.757091149320434, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.201051007966207 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 70542823.6832169, "yoy_growth_pct": 138.32924907476288, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.72061212457946 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 152714958.68500108, "yoy_growth_pct": 116.48546331344835, "cagr_3y_pct": 87.00768302560111 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 213011688.61742803, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.483185178210725, "cagr_3y_pct": 93.06756241432477 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 325860195.5141163, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.97761246302579, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.54291354679928 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 888739038.5551288, "yoy_growth_pct": 172.7362994283322, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.87227438316103 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 747091812.3501557, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.93799980197299, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.934656114823866 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 930183292.6602076, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.507226191395937, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.85535676097201 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1971666461.5995922, "yoy_growth_pct": 111.96537039069723, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.422663130455142 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 2134027663.4121375, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.234719460654794, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.88680934022566 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 3133377187.237509, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.8292675375863, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.90451517830563 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 4186918749.86159, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.62319630446149, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.534692045717613 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 6593202112.696208, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.47146067532751, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.646073673122544 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 2918745188.567705, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.730991729387156, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.337500535966397 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1900984800.6738849, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.869792398467595, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.141004577262393 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 2989527484.272269, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.262040349428545, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.17509112714272 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 4915465100.623253, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.4228101759636, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.975118217667998 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 5394689248.824205, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.749314426831956, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.57805102752141 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 3473173268.9002795, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.618659227549166, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.125473868545205 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 4526750344.969634, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.33471106965393, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7087069427330857 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 4559992022.331271, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7343386497684179, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.449052935719312 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 4400462081.085018, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.498469744354815, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.207478673860003 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 4210928904.2779965, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.307119873199516, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3818764542871795 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 291595370039.4009, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.62656516680798, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6613141976963238, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "270112", "hs_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31436788328.444065, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3616611319644316, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "720260", "hs_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-nickel", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13880032117.012459, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.493787888791424, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5365872780336061, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "740400", "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15611318956.075687, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.928698214122534, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9194362830189902, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 718298619.7326877, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.152721718170472, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "261690", "hs_description": "Precious metal ores and concentrates: (excluding silver)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7259984283.027793, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3510184357126978, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "260300", "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62556768519.77541, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.788577759731091, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.101639519012028, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "271311", "hs_description": "Petroleum coke: (not calcined), obtained from bituminous minerals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1656514318.9381468, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.157570336259894, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.47176499358862006, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "020230", "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10727740266.940165, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9812364038760303, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "080440", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: avocados, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 123741485.73169315, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0914490568754567, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "distance_km": 15713, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "importer_population": 1412359.985, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 314322.45322799997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6131.225801928699, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878794, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878794, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COL-CHN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COL-CHN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COL-CHN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COL-CHN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COL-CHN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }