{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.503Z", "seo": { "title": "Colombia exports to Armenia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Colombia to Armenia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "COL", "country_name": "Colombia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ARM", "country_name": "Armenia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "all_history_lane_count": 5, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2014, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 565957.883569512, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 79479.36816379936, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 79479.36816379936, "access_friction_trade_usd": 565957.883569512, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 3, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6542294010819464, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 8.46031339820905, "product_concentration_hhi": 3955.641863934384, "top1_product_share_pct": 48.64192373934668, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "901890", "top_product_trade_usd": 275292.80212270253, "top_product_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 12118.501953125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.438762411226054, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.516500222720307, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.320322543103448, "tariff_advantage_pp": -2.803822320383141, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13861.183874, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4670, "buyer_population_latest": 2968.128, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 13.766456496846002, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 13.22885175771702, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.47479483434074155, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.128000000000004, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.422, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13861.183874, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4670, "buyer_population_2024": 2968.128 }, "history": [ { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 2731.7473543412834, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 2109.811505377961, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.766960787019485, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 26576.157140452236, "yoy_growth_pct": 1159.6460429146853, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 10380.535107295813, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.9404209478603, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.04854973016986 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 56276.36561371252, "yoy_growth_pct": 442.13357049541185, "cagr_3y_pct": 198.78637920620656 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 161413.3833319243, "yoy_growth_pct": 186.82268581429798, "cagr_3y_pct": 82.45220621473514 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 366134.07770801574, "yoy_growth_pct": 126.83006213624286, "cagr_3y_pct": 227.94937202302833 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 806966.8235260891, "yoy_growth_pct": 120.40199824547014, "cagr_3y_pct": 142.94607061281016 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 1267402.7837551204, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.05760717858625, "cagr_3y_pct": 98.75819251183732 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 553693.5379419243, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.31274090298152, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.782699433378955 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 742554.0667510524, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.10921671781138, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7348038532169605 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 404994.69758503605, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.4592310891196, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.633256533481102 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 263354.5151420591, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.9733424382024, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.94085838370825 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 150258.36025929783, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.94445258390759, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.29115703100904 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 113365.8930698735, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.55268853311039, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.584947822527276 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 182890.92077391475, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.32799365077928, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.4441765169207 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 605608.2922496444, "yoy_growth_pct": 231.13086734266184, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.14184521628232 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 570606.861043772, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.779549529590011, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.37660109618335 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 519570.7286070756, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.944184853182357, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.628561199421554 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 474094.0985600747, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.752731349766341, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.836792941006376 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 857084.9783494376, "yoy_growth_pct": 80.78372646961608, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.523768759525835 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 1033111.3959198132, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.537802203623357, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.74792442470324 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 1208548.0899648694, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.981391816790392, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.60495807109774 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22173259.444176063, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.447940743274272, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3403698495392128, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "hs_code": "870590", "hs_description": "Vehicles: break-down lorries, road-sweepers, spraying lorries, mobile workshops, mobile radiological units, and other special purpose vehicles n.e.s. in heading no. 8705", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16444971.110267952, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9999754268713139, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24873318.63642399, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.22909280827557, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8226587011047115, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COL", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "distance_km": 12045, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13861.183874, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4670.008798138086, "importer_population": 2968.128, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 314322.45322799997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6131.225801928699, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.438762411226054, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.516500222720307, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.320322543103448, "tariff_advantage_pp": -2.803822320383141 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COL-ARM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COL-ARM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COL-ARM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COL-ARM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COL-ARM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }