{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.727Z", "seo": { "title": "Congo, Rep. of the exports to Romania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Congo, Rep. of the to Romania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "COG", "country_name": "Congo, Rep. of the" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ROU", "country_name": "Romania" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "all_history_lane_count": 11, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 92855545.21759808, "attention_trade_usd": 92455769.97761911, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 399775.2399789698, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 232093.32001910143, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 92623451.89757898, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.720838879745429, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0.18332845931914363, "product_concentration_hhi": 9914.173528158082, "top1_product_share_pct": 99.56946541098634, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 92455769.97761911, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.576118725252524, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.576118725252524, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.87418786627483, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.237316107837202, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.33242142383276274, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.56946541098634, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 7426.711606257915, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 62857.43932204333, "yoy_growth_pct": 746.3697347434122, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 44735.474967890186, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.83026185859594, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 16033.594545678036, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.15910514600218, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.244314006351235 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 28459.55448695206, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.49952704537814, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.212510169400836 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 21592.6130893862, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.12877334644915, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.557567975410063 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 166027.92706764268, "yoy_growth_pct": 668.9107676794031, "cagr_3y_pct": 117.9633208807333 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 201648.95176360323, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.454839149709983, "cagr_3y_pct": 92.06841707390656 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 192429.67848840437, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.57194207783771, "cagr_3y_pct": 107.32688236674663 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 361745.07632690534, "yoy_growth_pct": 87.98819348892886, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.64043940700478 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 913932.8500457385, "yoy_growth_pct": 152.6455534172431, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.49038754470571 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 595814.1302142679, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.80766883645228, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.751460335290204 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 1160023.745603558, "yoy_growth_pct": 94.69557480726209, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.464704039499765 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 1137644.401816598, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9292142830503956, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.571547280746915 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 677186.8438601029, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.47464719390641, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.359639735992049 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 263221.80488792574, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.13010651720464, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.00629787313944 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 88.89362743954432, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.96622862324138, "cagr_3y_pct": -95.72481711158566 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 534743.6482347947, "yoy_growth_pct": 601454.5361769252, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.570123202752721 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 65985.03559079928, "yoy_growth_pct": -87.6604358352609, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.94669373443118 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 570681.5550962006, "yoy_growth_pct": 764.8651167444008, "cagr_3y_pct": 1758.5506555696925 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 454718.15801765845, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.32015859685424, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.260252965278156 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 545583.3038553217, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.982739689523154, "cagr_3y_pct": 102.21119949294994 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 116130.22360853679, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.71448360169535, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.18106698289782 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 15613.60645269886, "yoy_growth_pct": -86.5550879284184, "cagr_3y_pct": -67.4972347989313 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 43511.785950859274, "yoy_growth_pct": 178.67863893378794, "cagr_3y_pct": -56.955736697285886 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 76033.31139301628, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.74187678456983, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.166718370373264 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 76074130.54846585, "yoy_growth_pct": 99953.6858841233, "cagr_3y_pct": 1595.2923006826281 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 92982109.63441154, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.225661948477793, "cagr_3y_pct": 1188.0443849370024 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4349354211.326315, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7183966706214409, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 82990900.07097864, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.34577334056975, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.132739329236304, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "841350", "hs_description": "Pumps: reciprocating positive displacement pumps, n.e.s. in heading no. 8413, for liquids", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 105196523.35876979, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4972909993069992, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "distance_km": 5501, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 284087.56369599997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14861.90839631, "importer_population": 19115.147, "importer_biz_entry_days": 20, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12523.961677, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2213.880862829297, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.576118725252524, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.576118725252524, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COG-ROU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COG-ROU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COG-ROU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COG-ROU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COG-ROU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }