{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.742Z", "seo": { "title": "Congo, Rep. of the exports to the United Arab Emirates: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Congo, Rep. of the to the United Arab Emirates, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "COG", "country_name": "Congo, Rep. of the" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "all_history_lane_count": 47, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2296035376.7859254, "attention_trade_usd": 2291464356.458066, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 221690331.9955758, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 221767465.19803602, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2070047385.7327037, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8200136865723898, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 6.042413536319304, "product_concentration_hhi": 8221.158231345555, "top1_product_share_pct": 90.15597245115907, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.98473479650109, "top_product_hs6": "740311", "top_product_trade_usd": 2070013021.7639854, "top_product_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes", "top_attention_product_hs6": "740311", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 5308.8564453125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545452, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545452, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 358868.765175, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 36285, "buyer_population_latest": 9991.083, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.943547237156554, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.819807045643529, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0679101465127756, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.395999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 61.2, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.80091681626186, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 358868.765175, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 36285, "buyer_population_2024": 9991.083 }, "history": [ { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 129110.14243604512, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 186181.40647827435, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.20354819955339, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3467295.184952447, "yoy_growth_pct": 1762.3208678773456, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 923297.2985730442, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.37125196089393, "cagr_3y_pct": 92.6609666104401 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 11651224.17791751, "yoy_growth_pct": 1161.9146829438876, "cagr_3y_pct": 297.0194199900534 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 28364659.57672176, "yoy_growth_pct": 143.44789134244894, "cagr_3y_pct": 101.4940624592681 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 24088925.253945153, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.074160545489523, "cagr_3y_pct": 196.59144486910765 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 24052649.123349544, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.15059256572548252, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.329915971229802 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 56356943.693334304, "yoy_growth_pct": 134.30659718319666, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.715825757179566 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 126996238.81257498, "yoy_growth_pct": 125.34266496711327, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.04350130987818 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 97277885.69079052, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.400971083595422, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.32492973429851 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 101197506.08810814, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.029302620511932, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.54603395155956 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 170963469.55649772, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.94039800511239, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.41739273418385 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 324149651.7124057, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.60170412620518, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.36326971052101 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1121313621.8302355, "yoy_growth_pct": 245.924672726502, "cagr_3y_pct": 122.93885316756787 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 862212070.4801497, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.10696546494939, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.48925955624577 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 703640605.3087082, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.39123698223525, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.479727903147236 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 616681787.535221, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.358413814867287, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.06967552123726 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 753641942.5172943, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.209210284850677, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.386990699659155 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1131293688.0899067, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.11023461767405, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.149783455982927 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1257099684.9959643, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.12054263455411, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.795215159761888 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1276479040.551034, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.541592586997731, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.201817147553445 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1649431525.7786846, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.2172823352159, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.393016597311757 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1712617880.6493018, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8307958762208827, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.857118410289912 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2385327645.1329947, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.27961818480195, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.17184622231505 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2300168887.9176397, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5701073346930845, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.722799953707884 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "740311", "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3387494447.9233227, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7348187233616131, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80031157896.70036, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.53080990234242, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6124096703490152, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "970500", "hs_description": "Collections and collectors' pieces: of zoological, botanical, mineralogical, anatomical, historical, archaeological, palaeontological, ethnographic or numismatic interest", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49111967.74258129, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9999430987188946, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "760200", "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47503733.219883636, "current_below_peak_pct": 82.08401560939447, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.415443450876154, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "440729", "hs_description": "Wood, tropical: (as specified in subheading note 1, chapter 44, customs tariff), n.e.c. in item no. 4407.2, sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16607869.779479463, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.5706252504779, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8720159764178655, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "440791", "hs_description": "Wood: oak (Quercus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19909646.424708497, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "distance_km": 5420, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "importer_population": 9991.083, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12523.961677, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2213.880862829297, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545452, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545452, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COG-ARE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COG-ARE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COG-ARE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COG-ARE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COG-ARE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }