{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.250Z", "seo": { "title": "Democratic Republic of the Congo exports to South Africa: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Democratic Republic of the Congo to South Africa, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "COD", "country_name": "Democratic Republic of the Congo" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZAF", "country_name": "South Africa" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "all_history_lane_count": 51, "current_lane_count": 28, "current_product_count": 28, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2742688831.2267585, "attention_trade_usd": 2738985467.9111166, "critical_trade_usd": 2446586417.8200006, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1176768853.5691078, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2448605351.1581726, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2733143050.325449, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 2742688831.2267585, "critical_lane_count": 4, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 17, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 15, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 14, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1191569131366943, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 74.00816380537857, "product_concentration_hhi": 3881.481117453895, "top1_product_share_pct": 56.96248979573063, "top3_product_share_pct": 88.64216273129645, "top_product_hs6": "282200", "top_product_trade_usd": 1562303845.616186, "top_product_description": "Cobalt oxides and hydroxides: commercial cobalt oxides", "top_attention_product_hs6": "282200", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5997022185294298, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.829491262325488, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4411476748953822, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.936, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.216, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.86497326005497, "critical_trade_share_pct": 89.20393702575745, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 1311262.3754773228, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 2259606.9259341257, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.3230200295794, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 1610294.8204334357, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.735622025599127, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 3791173.3614166174, "yoy_growth_pct": 135.4334941222853, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.4605712148171 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 6458277.331569111, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.35035636449763, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.91487895621266 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 4015778.644265887, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.81966245648655, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.6088781736938 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 6855523.322016732, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.71467153214992, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.830396086026504 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 7417682.803807699, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.20009582617236, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.725037002374122 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 5789444.678205991, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.950765065956833, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.96807131062554 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 9027230.947155334, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.92567938575854, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.606921557295456 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 809639045.2616485, "yoy_growth_pct": 8868.852685848062, "cagr_3y_pct": 377.9044363042728 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 3060981924.013516, "yoy_growth_pct": 278.0674785792115, "cagr_3y_pct": 708.6140545420168 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 3182241394.096786, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9614565879002805, "cagr_3y_pct": 606.414365605922 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 3084726281.3416624, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.064353098291628, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.18586595980217 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 3480615134.0114865, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.833840560324772, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.375462541389896 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 3752385363.921063, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.808109183170586, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.647227469159932 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 3962626848.9233785, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.602875627428183, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.706500412998786 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 5950158175.405684, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.15691363980703, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.570534027241713 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 9557104299.77807, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.61933175627659, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.565069718846985 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 2547001467.0404816, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.34965291631664, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.699097163705275 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 959989786.068602, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.30902107865397, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.56067891301861 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 1846323773.3662922, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.32743932906303, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.191214506535836 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 899693537.9627566, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.27108522670436, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.310463291068555 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 2225061984.6317253, "yoy_growth_pct": 147.31332289771686, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.340214381836915 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 2747369456.1088862, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.47383915974859, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.165899118035451 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "282200", "hs_description": "Cobalt oxides and hydroxides: commercial cobalt oxides", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1608382790.0019484, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.76335805716587, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9328598905653811, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "740319", "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, n.e.c. in item no. 7403.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 540500674.7711527, "current_below_peak_pct": 78.51755045706965, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0268175300827074, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2691355900.4854283, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.37898702877428, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9359275516299694, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "740311", "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 367305900.9131845, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.445583935803796, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.353487342369367, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "260300", "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16049345.605944844, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.77803086673605, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4964753448596364, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "740400", "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38054633.616331875, "current_below_peak_pct": 20.284637103646602, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.209932818976063, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "740811", "hs_description": "Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 560201614.1703882, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3035765143732807, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "880230", "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 2000kg but not exceeding 15,000kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 107469863.02829185, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.9997113239218, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0133751732331941, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "800110", "hs_description": "Tin: unwrought, not alloyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11202139.133372078, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "843149", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 359118909.26033896, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.456381513092516, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9719822844870579, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "distance_km": 2775, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662, "importer_population": 60041.996, "importer_biz_entry_days": 40, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 53958.573693000006, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 584.1064281843002, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-ZAF/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-ZAF/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-ZAF/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-ZAF/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-ZAF/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }