{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.281Z", "seo": { "title": "Democratic Republic of the Congo exports to United Rep. of Tanzania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Democratic Republic of the Congo to United Rep. of Tanzania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "COD", "country_name": "Democratic Republic of the Congo" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TZA", "country_name": "United Rep. of Tanzania" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "all_history_lane_count": 23, "current_lane_count": 9, "current_product_count": 9, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2465116483.1494246, "attention_trade_usd": 2464399060.068054, "critical_trade_usd": 503709294.76605165, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 35348668.69494949, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 503810225.3240641, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2465015552.5914125, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 2, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.807210826809447, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.52622789758966, "product_concentration_hhi": 6420.672398549406, "top1_product_share_pct": 78.10754746587583, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.54103603362555, "top_product_hs6": "740311", "top_product_trade_usd": 1925442027.1650658, "top_product_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes", "top_attention_product_hs6": "740311", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.256797873241803, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.220129140572591, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.9880576289668337, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 31.53, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.898000000000003, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.9708969906179, "critical_trade_share_pct": 20.433488567749723, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 51492.657771716884, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 82045.72421232091, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.334801819815496, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 159998.17783772794, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.01098853570824, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 105883.74020971009, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.821908698798666, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.163162999917077 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 463940.12479741074, "yoy_growth_pct": 338.15993265684153, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.15663206135038 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 105664.47498989636, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.2245448621119, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.916076499457096 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 93591.62077754739, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.425651065321041, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.0299108687261604 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 353499.55441418575, "yoy_growth_pct": 277.70427681170173, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.66393188871405 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 701402.3650258532, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.41676071931882, "cagr_3y_pct": 87.9371956485914 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 769554.9435268075, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.716616581189076, "cagr_3y_pct": 101.83704908183473 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 569944.4354305431, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.938434906475383, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.25945798229236 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 184145.3877189271, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.69064205709432, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.967881125635735 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 603272.8886234518, "yoy_growth_pct": 227.60684158121077, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.794238551685306 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 3889085.750024718, "yoy_growth_pct": 544.6644335200998, "cagr_3y_pct": 89.67277596015953 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 1131566.2696848866, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.90405451518535, "cagr_3y_pct": 83.16382989727687 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 815782885.3129277, "yoy_growth_pct": 71993.24872683799, "cagr_3y_pct": 1005.8263319564136 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 1141197709.9805791, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.88988130620379, "cagr_3y_pct": 564.5144933146295 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 703055840.7670366, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.39316056995933, "cagr_3y_pct": 753.3030063870339 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 572967135.7243334, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.503324700464173, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.110245339726099 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 787567665.6552391, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.454247643647484, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.629157524597355 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 2000470026.4535568, "yoy_growth_pct": 154.00611448277394, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.70355398801444 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 716871653.9615316, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.16483903873305, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.754950545182737 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 327044423.50381213, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.37894333015964, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.394137252821057 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 1307985275.5389743, "yoy_growth_pct": 299.94116442218683, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.205887081862343 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 1680821816.3254223, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.50464357351541, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.849550532979066 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 1666800299.9764137, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8342059945213087, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.091309999365 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 1963394854.2819245, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.794246515896827, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.498974721811608 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 1167641510.3257387, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.52946060344127, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.434900161722917 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 1194123896.6729493, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.2680237138728243, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.520831467987502 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "export_value_usd": 2466693387.6734586, "yoy_growth_pct": 106.56930110402479, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.903576658096045 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "hs_code": "740311", "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1932250155.403098, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.810201456463133, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "hs_code": "740319", "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, n.e.c. in item no. 7403.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 434082250.27496463, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.60645772212854, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7903471228326676, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "hs_code": "282200", "hs_description": "Cobalt oxides and hydroxides: commercial cobalt oxides", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69895510.27367121, "current_below_peak_pct": 69.569346269398, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6600881383483203, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "hs_code": "740400", "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33302035.268445842, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.89841639886545, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0977871123642295, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "hs_code": "490700", "hs_description": "Unused postage, revenue or similar stamps of current or new issue in the country in which they have, or will have, a recognised face value: stamp-impressed paper: cheque forms: banknotes, stock, share or bond certificates and the like of similar title", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42913435.26838157, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.060068733506178, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8093346821265115, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "hs_code": "252329", "hs_description": "Cement: portland, other than white, whether or not artificially coloured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12773268.673344996, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9840667857079672, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "hs_code": "843143", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34707163.698505364, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.32696118524294, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7158291423636194, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "hs_code": "843041", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21625026.54807986, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.58267478425684, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6854609697368719, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "hs_code": "842720", "hs_description": "Fork-lift and other works trucks: fitted with lifting or handling equipment, self-propelled by other than electric motor", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15180572.22508607, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "TZA", "distance_km": 2668, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 67775.10179399999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1102.0621302589138, "importer_population": 61498.44, "importer_biz_entry_days": 29.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 53958.573693000006, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 584.1064281843002, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-TZA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-TZA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-TZA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-TZA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-TZA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }