{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.903Z", "seo": { "title": "Democratic Republic of the Congo exports to Luxembourg: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Democratic Republic of the Congo to Luxembourg, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "COD", "country_name": "Democratic Republic of the Congo" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LUX", "country_name": "Luxembourg" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "all_history_lane_count": 9, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2003, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 8619068.540942252, "attention_trade_usd": 8602320.272175524, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 7581069.525963504, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 8602320.272175524, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6264385397559309, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 56.56624201789778, "product_concentration_hhi": 7847.352164455643, "top1_product_share_pct": 87.76263028034619, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "740311", "top_product_trade_usd": 7564321.257196777, "top_product_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes", "top_attention_product_hs6": "740311", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.9490070751361035, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.101286267407822, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7749260109831688, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.124, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 54.153999999999996, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.80568354124149, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 219.8847843634472, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 39620.42070289255, "yoy_growth_pct": 17918.718674687385, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 5548.146122678274, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.99675110902287, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 31275.13990119271, "yoy_growth_pct": 463.7043295120562, "cagr_3y_pct": 421.99702481208953 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 30695.510841199488, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.853322037325622, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.155759409939433 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 127366.35441977179, "yoy_growth_pct": 314.93479316467597, "cagr_3y_pct": 184.20754894398388 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 6997.238648463539, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.5062110944919, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.29248231291452 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 1431.1036552815071, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.54759402702736, "cagr_3y_pct": -64.00859986616322 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 21970847.06507749, "yoy_growth_pct": 1535137.9950951692, "cagr_3y_pct": 456.6694154345658 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 48223782.147458345, "yoy_growth_pct": 119.4898631109663, "cagr_3y_pct": 1803.0266089100369 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 52616366.03321128, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.108750268324716, "cagr_3y_pct": 3225.190923472276 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 44883636.14719635, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.696434719824737, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.88601088667322 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 56845056.59375676, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.649847190037825, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.635642507385952 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 71172630.90139444, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.204609100892817, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.593785379977838 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 68969550.68255155, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.0954036557888864, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.395743019818141 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 116147434.2809266, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.40393062080724, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.893381995423038 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 73798761.03706425, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.4611353716461, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2151097376165598 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 24017541.1313237, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.45535996293857, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.645742795775664 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 7781423.321667258, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.60108256244966, "cagr_3y_pct": -59.385310204351626 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 6917113.455879239, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.107349260659817, "cagr_3y_pct": -54.57531307224834 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 6641989.727300685, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.977435534828644, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.84868005368915 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 7824385.517023254, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.80183105165831, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.18369977099066404 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 26492453.947962686, "yoy_growth_pct": 238.58830051668517, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.45847624353284 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "740311", "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11845908.856870158, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.34223423464135, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.71171234950134, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "280300", "hs_description": "Carbon: carbon blacks and other forms of carbon n.e.s.", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59451541.4228986, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "851769", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data (including wired/wireless networks), n.e.c. in item no. 8517.6", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14940811.036417894, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.33277832461618, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9371629223481698, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COD", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "distance_km": 6042, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263, "importer_population": 639.07, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 53958.573693000006, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 584.1064281843002, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-LUX/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-LUX/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-LUX/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-LUX/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/COD-LUX/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }