{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.938Z", "seo": { "title": "Côte d'Ivoire exports to Madagascar: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Côte d'Ivoire to Madagascar, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CIV", "country_name": "Côte d'Ivoire" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MDG", "country_name": "Madagascar" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "all_history_lane_count": 5, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2005, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 64283.87858688507, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 32426.273467096256, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 32426.273467096256, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 64283.87858688507, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2205495776405377, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 41.425195601867436, "product_concentration_hhi": 5000.391276685795, "top1_product_share_pct": 50.44231023376945, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "701090", "top_product_trade_usd": 32426.273467096256, "top_product_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 6254.54248046875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.14000000059604645, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.449328033131312, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.449328033131312, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 14637.400396, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 515, "buyer_population_latest": 28427.334, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.3132742329127005, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.745400205779224, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.5238232116046477, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.479999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.228, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 14637.400396, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 515, "buyer_population_2024": 28427.334 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 514847.64197563095, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 263618.9808810265, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.79670034625423, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 173291.36377326743, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.264458805614105, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 224307.60810618955, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.43957691952337, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.190827032744732 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 270263.588152388, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.48792746452113, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8332163779224633 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 407254.3902621283, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.687849978702324, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.9524317252873 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 239221.81938652758, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.259854993201415, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.168949560167399 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 314011.0571236623, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.26355193223094, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.128177169143666 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 431617.1814572958, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.4528608676727, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9555761568271768 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 951775.1432785445, "yoy_growth_pct": 120.51372933417693, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.45691260196344 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 963269.8099597009, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.207708224188453, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.30068757205268 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 773404.8298958595, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.71046721289693, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.460776106892588 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 620751.5121390988, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.737828347582955, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.27829470945131 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 457458.6279412642, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.305676426808887, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.98083619879788 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 115557.42959694158, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.73926109624526, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.93636491177712 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 129308.57006612323, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.899832418516842, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.72068529872411 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 169784.304094017, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.301663924669576, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.13536260463931 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 277342.46542114316, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.34988496202012, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.88733577238605 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 245277.78311071277, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.561403790703428, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.787550061512164 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 285445.62937213667, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.376471505897893, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.90732786676912 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 174424.38849340612, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.894006232616604, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.323126014610965 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 260653.08147650494, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.43614464003616, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0473075052427125 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 327193.1175121422, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.52819849998018, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.6550655441509825 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 211082.22016301024, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.486962021694445, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.565055333603653 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 244267.6010029927, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.721542446519067, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.140948692274869 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 954272.0066927387, "yoy_growth_pct": 290.66663068470024, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.87492259693746 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 1239026.55128945, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.83997671519225, "cagr_3y_pct": 80.388834757925 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 1436506.4709765022, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.938312175920345, "cagr_3y_pct": 80.50139936090915 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 2007279.3391271478, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.73340041849225, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.128343110780918 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 1302261.6161509918, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.123049853276946, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6730555933635483 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "hs_code": "701090", "hs_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13598362.32101454, "current_below_peak_pct": 82.12390631968843, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8451791337029921, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "hs_code": "842952", "hs_description": "Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders: with a 360 degree revolving super structure", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10963696.792818986, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.584770186052475, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "distance_km": 6257, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 14637.400396000001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 514.9058436503402, "importer_population": 28427.334, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 30.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69764.827467, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2578.760412031968, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.449328033131312, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.449328033131312, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-MDG/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-MDG/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-MDG/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-MDG/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-MDG/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }