{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.754Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "CÃ´te d'Ivoire exports to Japan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from CÃ´te d'Ivoire to Japan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "CIV",
    "country_name": "CÃ´te d'Ivoire"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
    "importer_iso3": "JPN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 15,
    "current_lane_count": 9,
    "current_product_count": 9,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 49325897.52607424,
    "attention_trade_usd": 48569914.07491065,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 41093093.81178823,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 170272.23537521006,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 222064.82579652488,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 44159469.033517696,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 49325897.52607424,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 49325897.52607424,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 2,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 9,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.542459773764886,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 2.255717080270951,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3701.4182699193566,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 50.571856794195035,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 89.42899441328697,
    "top_product_hs6": "400122",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 24945022.259337656,
    "top_product_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "400122",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 14108.3076171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9783297279095353,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.7090602010402018,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.351164237190102,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4937421.880462,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 39285,
    "buyer_population_latest": 125681.595,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -4.67885267787802,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -4.27363742210356,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4233058113377264,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.977999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.869999999999997,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.46737010560432,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4937421.880462,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 39285,
    "buyer_population_2024": 125681.595
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 17624427.086101703,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 13214482.776286636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.021773974671035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 12031277.945696775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.953848974801492,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 12908654.611015005,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.2924644354346535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.85907905735094
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 11537761.447040258,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.61995386261988,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.422178225333928
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 10407796.027298693,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.793627862113851,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.716945531111816
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 6685837.428869732,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.76125616476923,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.69209859558305
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 9096143.418484073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.05092129830345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.619867395178681
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 15217290.073449397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.29386700881031,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.499212694178953
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 13701917.79245135,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.958226948975735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.020898889029986
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 13492884.135856954,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.525579555801715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.046640656379994
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 12777456.809511775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.302256501587765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.6585889889656515
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 12201188.816400658,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.5100367131128305,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7929428932944154
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 11025850.133556088,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.63298495360302,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.509152216241176
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 10245561.656288922,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.076900808695341,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.0968477964050924
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 8658895.602155933,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.486374562580107,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.80234194291565
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 3892439.873758927,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.04692454324349,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.324328651164134
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 12359429.750965392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 217.52397344110798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.452096929221218
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 8269876.2916412605,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.088528692067676,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5205752282775542
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 14568611.836435655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.16480975853064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.26208708702618
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 12580764.532108849,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.644726942036167,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5934107045029391
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 9347961.025543777,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.69639943831914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.169191474683198
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 9556472.69078023,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.2305577084316353,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.111996744308897
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 10635761.092941977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.293794657133361,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.444416322898582
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 7976749.2132837055,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.00067326091806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.1502155259854465
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 6195009.402989593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.33666576011911,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.453777754842445
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 7692575.957352196,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.17375756750111,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.236232274782298
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 8840281.943937935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.919657510678409,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4856327267611897
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 10274689.484512392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.225812136660146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.370162900585175
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 51065787.91002941,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 397.0056563461474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 87.94008314388839
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "400122",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 999404804.9829113,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.190830172874298,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "180100",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 217212557.00349876,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.085522966146028,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "760120",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2428015655.202965,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "180310",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa: paste, not defatted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 143319798.27091828,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.12611841876626,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8505726985930362,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "740400",
      "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1771069345.7516634,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.95057361066735,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7884164543381216,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "760410",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: (not alloyed), bars, rods and profiles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35923191.09681087,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "030342",
      "hs_description": "Fish: yellowfin tunas (thunnus albacares), frozen (excluding fillets, livers, roes and other fish meat of heading no. 0304)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 111291827.12190619,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.180603464330204,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5172337387548499,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "declining_buyer_demand",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "030359",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, n.e.c. in item no. 0303.5, excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49717049.175271906,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.70577676807677,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "declining_buyer_demand",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "030357",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, swordfish (Xiphias gladius), excluding fillets, livers, roes, and other fish meat of heading 0304",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16708681.783370726,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.78753106776287,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8798701886485738,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
    "importer_iso3": "JPN",
    "distance_km": 14101,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "importer_population": 125681.595,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69764.827467,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2578.760412031968,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9783297279095353,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.7090602010402018,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.351164237190102
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-JPN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-JPN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-JPN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-JPN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-JPN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}