{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.369Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "CÃ´te d'Ivoire exports to China: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from CÃ´te d'Ivoire to China, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "CIV",
    "country_name": "CÃ´te d'Ivoire"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CHN",
    "country_name": "China"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
    "importer_iso3": "CHN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 27,
    "current_lane_count": 11,
    "current_product_count": 11,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 760964741.6228619,
    "attention_trade_usd": 759843008.2626866,
    "critical_trade_usd": 53292372.122945406,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 661269332.0979987,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 56152138.80247913,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 760747507.8142922,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 760964741.6228619,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 6,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 6,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 6,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 11,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3835216632677143,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.023699165113849,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5506.228999002498,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 72.79974371267646,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 91.26104956613413,
    "top_product_hs6": "400122",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 553980381.645274,
    "top_product_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "400122",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 12145.080078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878794,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878794,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17734062.645370997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12556,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1412359.985,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.1812362915018895,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.16286575688667,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.01746865158438471,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 44.900000000000006,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 46.43,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.85259062623808,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 7.003264304899607,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17734062.645370997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12556,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1412359.985
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 4367960.538898005,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 13363293.20277794,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 205.93896359121806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 24177212.67772189,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.92256385346668,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 21045014.727479905,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.955165642928524,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.8976120122706
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 7248965.26027769,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.55495278027901,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.444327408255567
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 4844239.595528584,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.173364451424995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.48420252846229
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 6273085.749537511,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.495777940624702,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.19986655688724
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 12899690.219695766,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.63548363174866,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.180968981594628
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 47188020.06471971,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 265.8073896431338,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 113.56760632100733
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 79923441.79864496,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.37231460236666,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 133.55956153331158
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 79523090.235761,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5009188216550831,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 83.3600234083427
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 111928286.76383628,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.74941810234491,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.363207965159106
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 38673853.203553125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.44765016804622,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.4919081033906
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 56937560.32428141,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.22494814416456,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.538700561838333
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 55515888.098433204,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.496896982854957,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.842425474761594
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 97000207.54041487,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.7251298014495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.86838286075924
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 137162616.1928098,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.40445641382917,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.05375036264389
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 123559859.02050695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.917248263317912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.56297504187564
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 222888551.12001336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.38912708942235,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.958802537094023
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 192487272.60400534,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.639677032867692,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.958074221983694
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 122089025.15213694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.57293622560452,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.39837882729114593
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 86475705.52557404,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.169959856903283,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.065090072434884
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 131024710.5823281,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.516208842701225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.03355049186946
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 208990047.99621385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.504300423466304,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.62345083637631
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 396028693.32006645,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 89.4964363696596,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.0647717726634
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 493554210.6196907,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.625871545323896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.594371999983714
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 564052573.7937725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.283813542096269,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.22952020091503
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 808490813.7334114,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.33607385133747,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.857499177665687
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 899646205.7112094,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.274759147462031,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.155295073189052
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 777377237.963623,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.590783462586542,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.285200247444305
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "400122",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2452476299.6085453,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.639428409393145,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5338186851256397,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "260400",
      "hs_description": "Nickel ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2189672988.4566364,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.25685432879639,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.803532357903551,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "260200",
      "hs_description": "Manganese ores and concentrates, including ferruginous manganese ores and concentrates with a manganese content of 20% or more, calculated on the dry weight",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3734923764.5496254,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.61235482012318,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0911454116643227,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "260600",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 8801719409.93624,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2844643272928085,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "080132",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: cashew nuts, shelled, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 367047920.97095805,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1422843906322329,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "180310",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa: paste, not defatted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 143284134.32502195,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.60221116887285,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.633663735144392,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "400129",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: natural (excluding latex, technically specified natural rubber and smoked sheets), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 338991291.94414026,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.92462347368578,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5238806062726074,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "180400",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa: butter, fat and oil",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 175231089.2054761,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.07473041540885,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.622132692407462,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "180100",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67470771.54977319,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 99.05964012057512,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8694342627477583,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "080131",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: cashew nuts, in shell, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13581240.435091289,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.23945232627091,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9066231723691777,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "CIV",
    "importer_iso3": "CHN",
    "distance_km": 12966,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033,
    "importer_population": 1412359.985,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69764.827467,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2578.760412031968,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878794,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878794,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-CHN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-CHN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-CHN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-CHN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-CHN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}