{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.740Z", "seo": { "title": "Côte d'Ivoire exports to Bulgaria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Côte d'Ivoire to Bulgaria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CIV", "country_name": "Côte d'Ivoire" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BGR", "country_name": "Bulgaria" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "all_history_lane_count": 11, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 72058038.75619322, "attention_trade_usd": 66050361.888284944, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 66050361.888284944, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3151712.003370923, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 64342958.38508267, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1461956211728561, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 17.77034441406264, "product_concentration_hhi": 7764.753134508637, "top1_product_share_pct": 87.87147535934146, "top3_product_share_pct": 96.53956812855884, "top_product_hs6": "180100", "top_product_trade_usd": 63318461.77007305, "top_product_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted", "top_attention_product_hs6": "180100", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 4952.37890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.06318740546703339, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.115139557777779, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.100112106666666, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 13.533760373333333, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.566351733333332, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 80271.119426, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 11635, "buyer_population_latest": 6899.125, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.593931268104285, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.189451881330982, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5355909244541324, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.716, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.028, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 91.66272497613332, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 80271.119426, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 11635, "buyer_population_2024": 6899.125 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 1048289.9187886352, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 483375.66994168865, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.88912348787447, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 966217.1091189882, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.88947917787141, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 1404486.4308764834, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.359300474105254, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.241567432856247 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 3166995.6949636387, "yoy_growth_pct": 125.49137003675033, "cagr_3y_pct": 87.12029580195413 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 968973.0716318056, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.40402940323762, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.09498715259230739 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 1430454.9340241929, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.62587071849433, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6125626388523431 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 552589.0013565391, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.36970216866733, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.12061884058256 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 405933.88877725875, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.539636550720303, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.17480331186276 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 277185.81752216327, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.71651217465641, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.13282580927071 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 1306688.0873093728, "yoy_growth_pct": 371.4123179137376, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.22627905051967 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 2749290.275139429, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.40141881147375, "cagr_3y_pct": 89.20027452161992 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 3881220.915376276, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.17173986582561, "cagr_3y_pct": 141.0270503020949 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 4715807.029883613, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.503185021005834, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.38917016222291 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 2971470.1845155465, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.989148078247744, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6243124148888297 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 4697429.0797233945, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.08434169058436, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.568934339337007 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 3957214.162713834, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.757873178005433, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.678396261876928 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 2862648.498235571, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.660005738168493, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2359518360601007 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 2549108.4578047283, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.952795658429505, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.433963255871134 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 13993146.797759436, "yoy_growth_pct": 448.94277859837405, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.349819899722185 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 11501192.822009362, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.808388718891177, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.97357959118861 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 7739179.8663980495, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.70976335960651, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.80010454737518 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 6876309.3257225, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.149379592816533, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.087342060089963 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 30545806.663033806, "yoy_growth_pct": 344.2180422100824, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.485053987880804 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 39566547.09578381, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.531845507510535, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.27056200010105 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 21286179.28273599, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.201574700956826, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.7406728631869 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 40761955.12144553, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.49493471806487, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.095052433503838 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 43480499.72649899, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.669318478355302, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1942403391514107 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 80551336.0884139, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.25853335425731, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.83260986253897 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "export_value_usd": 72205145.27588469, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.361331317171885, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.99600927886076 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "180100", "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130297021.573724, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.976725865978208, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1925145020592403, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "740400", "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 552206842.7742355, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7820937160306212, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "180310", "hs_description": "Cocoa: paste, not defatted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62043991.20178282, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.92213181313781, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3158500108547644, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "780199", "hs_description": "Lead: unwrought, unrefined, not containing by weight antimony as the principal other element", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13981877.126568355, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "400122", "hs_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29678814.116319377, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.93579610462991, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8362589052232303, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "hs_code": "080132", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: cashew nuts, shelled, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11701976.707983103, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.93601564888988, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5611567495673072, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CIV", "importer_iso3": "BGR", "distance_km": 4939, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831, "importer_population": 6899.125, "importer_biz_entry_days": 23, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69764.827467, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2578.760412031968, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.115139557777779, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.100112106666666, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 13.533760373333333, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.566351733333332 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-BGR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-BGR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-BGR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-BGR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CIV-BGR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }