{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.686Z", "seo": { "title": "China exports to Zimbabwe: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from China to Zimbabwe, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZWE", "country_name": "Zimbabwe" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "all_history_lane_count": 105, "current_lane_count": 101, "current_product_count": 101, "first_observed_last_year": 2019, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 677821574.8682884, "attention_trade_usd": 668319551.623543, "critical_trade_usd": 30211080.70966033, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 639035819.4228733, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 85109741.77053736, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 623987613.2936618, "access_friction_trade_usd": 677821574.8682884, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 2, "high_attention_lane_count": 67, "high_volatility_lane_count": 94, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 28, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 92, "access_friction_lane_count": 101, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5283987391192304, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 17.271959824378143, "product_concentration_hhi": 269.8442656945612, "top1_product_share_pct": 5.740582650825243, "top3_product_share_pct": 15.747127494238434, "top_product_hs6": "851761", "top_product_trade_usd": 38910907.7304394, "top_product_description": "Base stations", "top_attention_product_hs6": "851761", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 10898.123046875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00419999985024333, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 27, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 26217.726717, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1737, "buyer_population_latest": 15092.171, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.484738370653396, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.7134131471191925, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7245315575260545, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 11.168, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.59815272970741, "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.457084552897395, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 26217.726717, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1737, "buyer_population_2024": 15092.171 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 19972371.413656175, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 21657517.748464987, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.437387328259804, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 29848791.351816934, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.82184873856338, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 65062197.09439942, "yoy_growth_pct": 117.97263523180814, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.24032680058099 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 29094474.298234787, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.282059940242554, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.340245309302887 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 31799687.677252736, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.298031479407353, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.132830509862327 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 27781826.930161506, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.634906316911177, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.697275039965216 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 33117272.025726285, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.204802869793713, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.41142274635955 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 25565439.03342663, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.80330634248259, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.01559132577626 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 97986285.11504084, "yoy_growth_pct": 283.2763637930272, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.218754395396736 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 111984313.1549193, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.285701334063305, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.0954561746866 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 104498889.73722999, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.684349983317716, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.88932669342737 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 206518916.6388902, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.62785725111239, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.21283848988363 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 129104455.3780504, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.48540933720047, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.856336412225448 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 147152248.8389063, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.979218151695383, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.086095907269856 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 321424674.5453614, "yoy_growth_pct": 118.4300118289313, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.888353220726191 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 388058103.96970564, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.73065159623908, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.317337879233754 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 397523830.09858793, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4392548517995216, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.27251606564588 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 406178642.5706504, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1771807918826047, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.113341471416891 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 395787830.400182, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.5581877236839246, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6596060464973519 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 512062070.40294504, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.37792197531639, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.80607561295108 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 375793418.0308634, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.61174499115916, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5584848224247447 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 438337243.0219811, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.64314008447616, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4622642030613493 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 430328749.8109381, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.827016375754642, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.631746396907933 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 374047586.04162455, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.078643663487577, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.15509785032350454 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 487013463.23899883, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.200937370787706, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.572437816929064 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 882255812.9618602, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.15634978429715, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.037339207652277 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 1122348856.9581993, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.213540615880106, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.23378620319012 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 1361188055.9121103, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.280299567570758, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.86152552067293 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "export_value_usd": 1314069333.2575269, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.4615880186378734, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.202229878082129 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "851761", "hs_description": "Base stations", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46904017.2618236, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.09153543942078, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2885533027405032, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "870423", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50652584.33289701, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4870122797934793, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "870120", "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 66938849.42818907, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.460169862338427, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "283711", "hs_description": "Cyanides and cyanide oxides: of sodium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59717350.39033022, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9513087626765309, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "850760", "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44683039.05715465, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.926039150960613, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.841090787615843, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "870210", "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more passengers), compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44906353.96370357, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.515425280403187, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.201325388339086, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "401120", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on buses or lorries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34429306.95879501, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2442400338077697, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "847490", "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54790335.08875336, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.607543591441162, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.865334613705252, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "842952", "hs_description": "Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders: with a 360 degree revolving super structure", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34806473.341512255, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4385517036205668, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "hs_code": "850440", "hs_description": "Electrical static converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36169469.56039507, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5853167000537143, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ZWE", "distance_km": 11058, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 26217.726717, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1737.1739769579872, "importer_population": 15092.171, "importer_biz_entry_days": 27, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 76.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-ZWE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-ZWE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-ZWE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-ZWE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-ZWE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }