{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.718Z", "seo": { "title": "China exports to World excl. Intra-EU: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from China to World excl. Intra-EU, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "importer": { "iso3": "WXD", "country_name": "World excl. Intra-EU" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "all_history_lane_count": 176, "current_lane_count": 168, "current_product_count": 168, "first_observed_last_year": 2004, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1015581372, "attention_trade_usd": 731838200, "critical_trade_usd": 14524194, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 736275530, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 153841067, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 548909, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 686400440, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 43, "high_volatility_lane_count": 123, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 58, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 69, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.344011193161367, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.16314243376022, "product_concentration_hhi": 712.1718862815812, "top1_product_share_pct": 22.507236180381614, "top3_product_share_pct": 37.01298707948338, "top_product_hs6": "860900", "top_product_trade_usd": 228579298, "top_product_description": "Containers: (including containers for transport of fluids) specially designed and equipped for carriage by one or more modes of transport", "top_attention_product_hs6": "860900", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Macro trend unavailable", "attention_trade_share_pct": 72.06101058734268, "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.4301359202165438, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 18381687.000000004, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 11636223.000000004, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.696653577008455, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 15671652, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.67988710769805, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 18644315, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.96840869105567, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4739990589093468 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 19293802, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.483565901992103, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.35917442986741 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 51128375.99999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 164.99896702578368, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.31408826729153 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 51192019, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.12447686584062811, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.02920038273334 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 62939694.999999985, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.948256836676006, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.30948912257431 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 153522460.9999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 143.91993161072665, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.267988011826674 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 84473255, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.976614855073194, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.169570469002274 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 133128026.00000001, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.59784087874915, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.365490939853856 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 292326831.00000006, "yoy_growth_pct": 119.58323861874133, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.945924634313243 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 235944613.00000003, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.287390694561324, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.830572791981965 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 258807593, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.689977537228177, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.80610806493275 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 319282412, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.366709724007208, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.983766690649836 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 356042297, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.513282166009198, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.700112189923464 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 444327610, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.796299131841625, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.740783530259808 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 656841833, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.82827315187548, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.182864697774868 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 380248834.9999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.10952836799603, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.216757282506876 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 450686060.9999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.523982065586075, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.474751760849057 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 1152196249, "yoy_growth_pct": 155.65384614812845, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.602196492249547 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 692821540, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.869484855439765, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.138100949772266 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 843616363, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.76531968102493, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.241494501791358 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 863411572.3064065, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.346470525537514, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.169758396341587 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 898641282, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.080291580929973, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.057363594127121 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 1013542013, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.786050819330153, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.307911681932499 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 1126523429, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.147186258770315, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.27163828671591 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 1353549687, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.15282169510919, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.629380619203758 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 1370220112, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2316079091967636, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.57311065425528 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "export_value_usd": 1441973897, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.236661202941084, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.577304736498515 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "860900", "hs_description": "Containers: (including containers for transport of fluids) specially designed and equipped for carriage by one or more modes of transport", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 237449786.05495164, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7450019950536728, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "551614", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: printed, containing 85% or more by weight of artificial staple fibres", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 111947738.59049703, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.380342300304022, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.925861575881635, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6201963063.363749, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.47832895301504, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.493548716934666, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "721070", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32948273.54500181, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.17558045507153, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0554668714406805, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "640299", "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.s. in heading no. 6402, (other than just covering the ankle), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58303523.42480334, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.504933294716566, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "401120", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on buses or lorries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41394924.69959113, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.654500529302155, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.280885217682909, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "540752", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of textured polyester filaments, dyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27011675.781438846, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.205101504574147, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9672664994986091, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "551612", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: dyed, containing 85% or more by weight of artificial staple fibres", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21801394.639392093, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.54162813175546, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2231914491704663, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 98743632.86520244, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.3106701872005875, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.107939176736361, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "hs_code": "441233", "hs_description": "Plywood: with sheets of wood only: not bamboo: each ply 6mm or less, with at least one outer ply of alder, ash, beech, birch, cherry, chestnut, elm, eucalyptus, hickory, horse chestnut, lime, maple, oak, plane, poplar, aspen, robinia, tulipwood or walnut", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19727710.507, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.525657972686812, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0599756631393065, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WXD", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "shares_ethnic_language": null, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": null, "shared_colonial_history": null, "has_fta": null, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": null, "importer_is_wto": null, "exporter_is_eu": null, "importer_is_eu": null, "importer_gdp_million_usd": null, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": null, "importer_population": null, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": null, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-WXD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-WXD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-WXD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-WXD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-WXD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }