{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.529Z", "seo": { "title": "China exports to Samoa: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from China to Samoa, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "importer": { "iso3": "WSM", "country_name": "Samoa" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "all_history_lane_count": 4, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 2024, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 316067.05829726264, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 290292.5462613552, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 290292.5462613552, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 316067.05829726264, "access_friction_trade_usd": 316067.05829726264, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 4, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.8824911491392025, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 78.75095909884324, "product_concentration_hhi": 3646.768975054277, "top1_product_share_pct": 52.60425500475301, "top3_product_share_pct": 91.84523936953076, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 166264.7213327134, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 8268.3193359375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 9, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 788.389972, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3939, "buyer_population_latest": 200.144, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.189778041225268, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.382450033463536, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7734327058839252, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 31.753999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 37.684000000000005, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 788.389972, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3939, "buyer_population_2024": 200.144 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 518258.0985733458, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 1873158.0975235207, "yoy_growth_pct": 261.433444586766, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 1251050.9873561235, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.21167129405026, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 1329725.6135016368, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.288682630895659, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.90058764048032 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 2474695.826798957, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.10575006389547, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.727579037119959 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 2281578.5843027094, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.80367592675203, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.176254560154838 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 2275977.5339311645, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.24549013608736736, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.619498919340693 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 2743174.430238932, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.527307029292373, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4928943004071566 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 3045556.8412636933, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.023083610414952, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.105858099176412 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 5989521.227671324, "yoy_growth_pct": 96.6642403950698, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.0621755256453 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 6243369.78421681, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.238211150712967, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.53920460216306 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 10880721.122279089, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.2764163959256, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.872836307035456 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 9722820.140985837, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.641766922252637, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.525844665208545 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 24105310.40354332, "yoy_growth_pct": 147.9250881329085, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.878907652460306 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 32941946.620920457, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.65846267666486, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.6651294361329 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 49695545.020730145, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.857948962767054, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.25628181975769 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 35771907.35557648, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.017878985622392, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.062562214937312 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 68006566.9953498, "yoy_growth_pct": 90.1116603019164, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.330916279276995 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 50234225.214340486, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.13327295616107, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3600225263349799 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 56715684.22776589, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.90247632121362, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.60585548221498 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 59786538.90628831, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.414471711546498, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.203232787491218 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 66698388.96063734, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.56088005894258, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.910338459820256 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 58060213.599215776, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.95110046289043, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7840526293801942 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 67222424.23613, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.78053208718815, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.984893803448597 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 79056436.21914786, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.604262442914752, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.829634515644155 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 75674951.81291296, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.277304376409385, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.234001023003868 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 89263001.21047094, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.955808457137824, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.913854491953566 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 106765221.90912393, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.607475058322255, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.534416940634372 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 101852006.32152118, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.601887674419636, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.409339482748582 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "export_value_usd": 99111220.67661059, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.6909490975156825, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5500819180068754 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 63073295.5858855, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.7345922378533, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5721330577473513, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "hs_code": "721070", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25359949.337853987, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.09789382873649, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.178185134851243, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "hs_code": "830990", "hs_description": "Stoppers: caps and lids, of base metal", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19358480.617194474, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.43615413147168, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2550709223327359, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "hs_code": "020714", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21101548.110955644, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.122858755080255, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6817305037684337, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "WSM", "distance_km": 8696, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 788.389972, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3939.1136981373406, "importer_population": 200.144, "importer_biz_entry_days": 9, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.9, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-WSM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-WSM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-WSM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-WSM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-WSM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }