{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:05.445Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "China exports to Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from China to Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "CHN",
    "country_name": "China"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "VCT",
    "country_name": "Saint Vincent and the Grenadines"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
    "importer_iso3": "VCT",
    "all_history_lane_count": 3,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2021,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1019243.7326838784,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1019243.7326838784,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1019243.7326838784,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1019243.7326838784,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 1019243.7326838784,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 1,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9148686294476279,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 94.44460324987857,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1019243.7326838784,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 14117.076171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.009499999694526196,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 889.775243,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7997,
    "buyer_population_latest": 111.269,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.912688779903651,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.642979019585148,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6912813766318804,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.303999999999995,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -2.2600000000000002,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 100,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 889.775243,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7997,
    "buyer_population_2024": 111.269
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 1467726.4327919574,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 2571331.682790658,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 75.19148155555027,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 4904979.112439938,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 90.75637519919562,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 3929870.2574955416,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.879979763243828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.86017203944596
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 10019610.611643234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 154.96034105789053,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.36117182723959
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 4208607.34267617,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.99629840120153,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.975903548621519
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 11546595.241453184,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 174.3566767174562,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.227114700494226
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 5419667.337487049,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.06263687125692,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.52195585447206
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 4941153.44730731,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.8292114696769,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.494538723349951
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 9701038.353039548,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 96.33145289843499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.6399650361347415
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 10489211.108077955,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.124622605903365,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.620665276869392
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 11311762.406913651,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.841879530885154,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.795518953405843
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 19974373.36734395,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.58055967596869,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.218903285246054
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 44507374.221705884,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 122.82238047312597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.893613106815934
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 77015639.08223557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.04017688977858,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 89.53214731396075
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 68310008.76044218,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.303717563776516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.6619991432447
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 63531268.64710986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.995666081805063,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.594847800716536
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 24220764.81211334,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.875836374919956,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.99571016228806
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 25134217.259332176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7713608728077608,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.34271632731429
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 37680366.110489346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.91660858863176,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.98131847713946
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 32821267.047963157,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.89557285159585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.659617157879019
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 20881941.874197435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.37679543668519,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.991200677901376
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 44994607.24269397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 115.47137480681866,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.09179166727376
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 39481570.05628311,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.252662094980382,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.352170423890602
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 24240190.215161193,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.60378353594983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.096530787470366
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 13469594.555399498,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.43280174024853,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.10432821926235
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 34692288.737423114,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 157.56000742810903,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.218967910034632
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 24197390.82810381,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.25138522497737,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.058889253501137606
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 27604164.410811424,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.079094754095767,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.020366261989604
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 37024435.34599683,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.126267308768334,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.1923761101731998
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25467657.493110064,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.44460324987857,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9148686294476279,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
    "importer_iso3": "VCT",
    "distance_km": 15085,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 889.775243,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7996.613998508119,
    "importer_population": 111.269,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 10,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-VCT/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-VCT/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-VCT/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-VCT/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-VCT/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}