{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.244Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "China exports to Thailand: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from China to Thailand, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "CHN",
    "country_name": "China"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "THA",
    "country_name": "Thailand"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
    "importer_iso3": "THA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1939,
    "current_lane_count": 1916,
    "current_product_count": 1916,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2002,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 80796927538.7126,
    "attention_trade_usd": 75811637679.4341,
    "critical_trade_usd": 3741489650.6084337,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 55724662258.46063,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4599879190.804229,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 28356388.9816403,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 65363631656.894356,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 80796927538.7126,
    "critical_lane_count": 97,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1487,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1210,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 374,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 4,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1389,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2118705125594211,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.986354407365274,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 70.47199500145713,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 5.169831933063937,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 9.405311117170914,
    "top_product_hs6": "851712",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 4177065360.830894,
    "top_product_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "851712",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 3303.890869140625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.009791200049221516,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.405095701191925,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.57545667454546,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6877102784626263,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 29.887746396082832,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 505981.655622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7233,
    "buyer_population_latest": 69950.844,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6503068707693682,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6907461577446372,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.0407205626975049,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.753999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.083999999999996,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 93.82985218480012,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.630732584250505,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 505981.655622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7233,
    "buyer_population_2024": 69950.844
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 1919695958.500866,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 1622386873.10617,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.487300688327299,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 1944979037.2901988,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.883800191652455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 1601413812.7954776,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.66421220525781,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.863718344800417
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 1972948765.399729,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.200433868850446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.738344145831521
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 2759759529.31365,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.87993898840598,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.370446252433975
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 2980910739.3435345,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.013423187087776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.012279737094723
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 3793664954.885724,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.265298649002045,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.350553225671746
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 4818131131.389235,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.004656148776075,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.411821101713624
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 6902534953.441072,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.261666509496436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.2979803340677
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 9400131964.999628,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.1837647821464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.31885861773982
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 11570986018.399733,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.093867846569015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.91541896553656
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 14364496138.415375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.142368814321546,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.67149017088366
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 17895148468.561935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.57901966156988,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.936849410441894
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 15287334083.048086,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.572745177807489,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.728757762338368
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 22192247930.76985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.16754726632506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.603318101441644
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 28255683379.084362,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.322313031243105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.445712663883437
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 33947930436.06019,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.145494202378366,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.46494905010504
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 35105802727.36848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.410730128274242,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.517870141758763
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 36325559386.46319,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.474515790359045,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.734868054152866
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 39495291374.37805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.725900003885624,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.174552504148178
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 39504884880.811356,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.024290253595959932,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.013720446082658
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 41473077918.164536,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.982151051170858,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.516450527613847
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 46336204470.17833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.725984171249127,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.469052586022993
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 48063115355.8161,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7269148506740457,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.754708488171013
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 50518365990.4696,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.1083884523028145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.797480961965485
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 68023218461.46775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.65047241294479,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.652477309177847
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 75429853969.92392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.888393222163861,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.210075448577264
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 74093804221.92126,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.771247957785227,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.617230678806669
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 84137179521.15895,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.554946199221174,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.343789855867211
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6003976118.80483,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9677704829466033,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "851770",
      "hs_description": "Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2490486182.998504,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2924995116963753,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "847130",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1629181155.8304603,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.28304149645308,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8991007330950256,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "853400",
      "hs_description": "Circuits: printed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2480309734.358701,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0949006076922485,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "870380",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only electric motor for propulsion",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1558258099.082817,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.05409572674859,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.79219247826467,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "732690",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2291869243.4486103,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.209338164203248,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "854239",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11175811259.396873,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 2.14923916201044,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.281227285321177,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "847330",
      "hs_description": "Machines: parts and accessories of automatic data processing, magnetic or optical readers, digital processing units",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3759249289.268735,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.622910873958613,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5462489392744179,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "854231",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7262816264.841843,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0736336354224314,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1989610777.7864342,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 8.130663074288739,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.011001725913668,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
    "importer_iso3": "THA",
    "distance_km": 2887,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 505981.655622,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7233.388858353161,
    "importer_population": 69950.844,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.405095701191925,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.57545667454546,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6877102784626263,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 29.887746396082832
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-THA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-THA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-THA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-THA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-THA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}