{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.521Z", "seo": { "title": "China exports to Eswatini: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from China to Eswatini, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SWZ", "country_name": "Eswatini" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "all_history_lane_count": 4, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 2024, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 335146.45771681843, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 89964.11376995395, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 89964.11376995395, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 335146.45771681843, "access_friction_trade_usd": 335146.45771681843, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 335146.45771681843, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 4, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9518583514835978, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 39.11313176913399, "product_concentration_hhi": 3071.6262395315825, "top1_product_share_pct": 40.60302125573661, "top3_product_share_pct": 87.80203269647212, "top_product_hs6": "870120", "top_product_trade_usd": 136079.58746460808, "top_product_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 11485.859375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 21.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4941.373182, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4215, "buyer_population_latest": 1172.369, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.026430242925347, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.018339043456572224, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0449609222195733, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.651999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 11.422, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4941.373182, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4215, "buyer_population_2024": 1172.369 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 2980201.02439695, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 2746600.148386627, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.838426807386012, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 5176659.848802802, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.47519002151114, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 7668192.127774229, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.13011385222925, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.03004762491855 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 11493843.605727442, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.8898751388438, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.14739204643831 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 11784955.76252269, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.532765946547122, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.550582624042356 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 8314420.6216170145, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.44886014712347, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7337170831925883 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 16620906.841082215, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.90457059471846, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.08278019180329 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 20316329.166583207, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.233578232728824, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.905497314540344 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 24009415.675390575, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.177922195126904, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.4021456391352 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 34237868.1069952, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.60183825335113, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.23814622194225 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 90738884.47072412, "yoy_growth_pct": 165.02492557994603, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.68323833180503 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 48698370.49827674, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.331310129794765, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.583649617241466 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 41707402.12956724, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.355651528333746, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.799398875591112 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 42678871.0177996, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.3292481397292786, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.23100340276781 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 44336788.91018094, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8846339016088027, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.079286587237484 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 51478486.67397089, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.107837169394145, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.2681714157327715 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 58595379.36638221, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.824984284182218, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.143349945318093 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 54487517.73589912, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.010555567526344, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.113512831615587 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 65494816.143970296, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.201504611429577, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.357851498025726 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 59817473.625980414, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.668384541320007, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6904384887249204 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 95065895.24220985, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.9266304301425, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.385978291992867 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 106140915.21567805, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.649835038371181, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.460532920999363 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 77781767.55435754, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.718393753902347, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.14820060860475 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "export_value_usd": 77725088.22237447, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.07286968882966871, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.492705007302191 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "hs_code": "870120", "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10127433.923255635, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.159450518555592, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6436002933973063, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23112559.423458476, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.852957406612916, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9997829817003273, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20225214.091071673, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.48141381453227, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4991774683963415, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "hs_code": "940360", "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, other than for office, kitchen or bedroom use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10690198.81769601, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.35374530817046, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1929192496693217, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "SWZ", "distance_km": 11507, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4941.373182, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4214.86168774507, "importer_population": 1172.369, "importer_biz_entry_days": 21.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 10.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-SWZ/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-SWZ/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-SWZ/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-SWZ/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-SWZ/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }