{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.301Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "China exports to Sweden: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from China to Sweden, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "CHN",
    "country_name": "China"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SWE",
    "country_name": "Sweden"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
    "importer_iso3": "SWE",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1217,
    "current_lane_count": 1176,
    "current_product_count": 1176,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 7926503694.194582,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2134742339.1564326,
    "critical_trade_usd": 226790727.9681512,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3689943237.125131,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1618325359.0847495,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 3348163.0953576537,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2124977490.3349142,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 10,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 175,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 521,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 492,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 5,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 319,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1936900862383835,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.972414252716966,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 114.67735431761919,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 7.26600808383937,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 14.843144172682734,
    "top_product_hs6": "850760",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 575940399.1860046,
    "top_product_description": "Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "850760",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 6713.78662109375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.008899999782443047,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 627437.8988869999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 60239,
    "buyer_population_latest": 10415.811,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6041298879049046,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.033187461230712,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.559565412862506,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.328000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.238,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 26.93170181349856,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.8611697757014114,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 627437.8988869999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 60239,
    "buyer_population_2024": 10415.811
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 395003246.745798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 406049880.28621316,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.7965930992775334,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 506708535.41897506,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.789726587731153,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 610042980.4164796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.393271037374937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.589909298609527
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 651779901.3055942,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.841636118920769,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.086599315918583
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 841154395.0002874,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.054975968935693,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.405669968500703
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 929865152.2052724,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.54631084760067,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.08529785027639
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 914013528.0920497,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.704722891876198,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.931043652517449
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 1454760828.287435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.161848657116046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.03428043098301
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 1913557996.2299333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.537635535774,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.196126421504708
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 2524547205.258708,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.92948477300075,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.3062306414151
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 3280462712.513606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.942617261436165,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.133756523605594
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 4435989199.42777,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.224496913386915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.3476650256959
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 4903175412.389481,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.531725663849144,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.766495978193493
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 3933329074.9413376,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.779964122790883,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.236819137239813
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 6121877321.586247,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.64111735750332,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.33491471160768
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 6259887140.4648905,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.254370867446309,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.483334114818874
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 6923042950.872683,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.593734288291712,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.738445822951967
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 6947627886.489234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.3551174792791434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.307925730816464
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 7335906761.011757,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.588653866704529,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.429569495593389
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 6873209809.669824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.307290515209862,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.24051654222283503
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 6093468455.953391,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.344646465170104,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.278534470265916
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 6362491324.311421,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.414938229395315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.634534404643942
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 6970938981.164808,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.563041045391696,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.47173300333900325
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 7148744373.248267,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.5506663100033133,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.468248426904987
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 6582288558.638086,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.923850469880389,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.138514696854509
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 9278737636.20976,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.9652213443767,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.001651270985267
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 10367749731.599075,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.736640673398346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.19265477644791
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 8010200499.771384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.739256761207272,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.763341148245483
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 8508656101.974559,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.222760619005729,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8467443264656223
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "850760",
      "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1207317492.1909912,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5164813878628003,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "870380",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only electric motor for propulsion",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3946383192.127757,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 26.32627073229449,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4591526638754,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "850440",
      "hs_description": "Electrical static converters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1078121563.805693,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 2.1039023048033165,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2295251520934094,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "890120",
      "hs_description": "Tankers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 206128375.90682396,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6469115177053082,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "940540",
      "hs_description": "Lamps and light fittings: electric, n.e.s. in heading no. 9405",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 262464755.51832402,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.60503632981358,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8599098925152265,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "851770",
      "hs_description": "Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 279207820.72474873,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.15526348491653,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7348486777871356,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 929795507.24759,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 2.9296494545808134,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.181601637192661,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "890190",
      "hs_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 303861673.30867803,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8682105302713777,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "847989",
      "hs_description": "Machines and mechanical appliances: n.e.s. in item no. 8479.8, having individual functions",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 658050844.4585589,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.344567610651833,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9849405180607602,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "940510",
      "hs_description": "Chandeliers and other electric ceiling or wall light fittings: excluding those used for lighting public open spaces or thoroughfares",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 222366127.604379,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.977784509831643,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7198033256206107,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
    "importer_iso3": "SWE",
    "distance_km": 7782,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434,
    "importer_population": 10415.811,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-SWE/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-SWE/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-SWE/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-SWE/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-SWE/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}