{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.240Z", "seo": { "title": "China exports to Russia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from China to Russia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "importer": { "iso3": "RUS", "country_name": "Russia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "all_history_lane_count": 1905, "current_lane_count": 1868, "current_product_count": 1868, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 111317557710.38393, "attention_trade_usd": 104454461320, "critical_trade_usd": 5674893267, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 81698024188.67796, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 7386219823.450347, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 8029577, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 105376728495.6561, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 119, "high_attention_lane_count": 1358, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1271, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 394, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1595, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.56933996405839, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 14.024670705327162, "product_concentration_hhi": 114.983886578552, "top1_product_share_pct": 7.693466409208794, "top3_product_share_pct": 15.11369831232886, "top_product_hs6": "870323", "top_product_trade_usd": 8564178910.000001, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870323", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 5795.044921875, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0005000000237487257, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.701394466704979, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.92081698762452, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.504952727318008, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1775799.919353, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12380, "buyer_population_latest": 143446.06, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.12549554382431, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.397317436553406, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26532954061908587, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.657999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.309999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 93.83466855404812, "critical_trade_share_pct": 5.097931883993026, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1775799.919353, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12380, "buyer_population_2024": 143446.06 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1046887187.2472924, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1653026809.1040826, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.89923014060252, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 2005392111.0448012, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.31636946237403, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1657994502.0575602, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.32317620449042, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.56309414527175 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1426866283.0958781, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.940228310459023, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.785930792958837 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1974165733.6450932, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.35674421864794, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5217578397712974 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 2519723104.5449057, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.634831341768717, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.971424077280693 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 3286746793.537043, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.440792784279825, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.06700348116256 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 5475693997.982175, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.5992040746616, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.502867220600436 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 8306407309.575176, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.6959733804726, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.82873885383785 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 11963956076.963387, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.032860791355446, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.82828115081075 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 15040896577.64075, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.718420235611017, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.0484107764268 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 27125014704.148594, "yoy_growth_pct": 80.34174069431242, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.36071569279585 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 33185286665.26117, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.342004335155984, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.50450670850449 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 19566932752.797077, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.03732491399563, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.164896949125234 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 33337237258.948902, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.37538627091857, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.115719145335397 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 42308875779.4378, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.911763715754788, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.433124126370451 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 47373905790.98521, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.971554238293013, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.27819040928044 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 51478829496.68047, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.664946740524805, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.584523214887703 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 52725361299.98439, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4214455058351625, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.612493096571993 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 35214626359.94534, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.2112184882159, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.41395524114994 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 42538040976.46268, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.796513760109935, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.16109301406661 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 48853344728.30052, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.846249631787822, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5104095003892657 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 50287065054.12863, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.934743432208764, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.610201309441083 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 52146263060.31441, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.69716944940921, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.02417825976458 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 52197127723.85053, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.09754229843332851, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.231351185521069 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 69021457874.05167, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.2322910931238, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.132891205004691 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 77103044189.40749, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.708802688727404, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.924232474489774 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 112296063058.87823, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.64413667379634, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.09397544174468 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 114572336601.99998, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.027028803252229, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.403683675259373 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 9405357373.321735, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.840889013977296, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6422213725.844589, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5811370099504822, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3969268667.5452037, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.15505638740073, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.992191383948307, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "870120", "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2714258401.1745815, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.004416609341696, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.193577988942074, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "847130", "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2195116875.550454, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.82185770139558, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9295374502853727, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "870423", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1586284792.8369148, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.64061156050694, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7592105518426604, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "848180", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1594000217.8088655, "current_below_peak_pct": 0.17398237740675895, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0480019111946173, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "281820", "hs_description": "Aluminium oxide: other than artificial corundum", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2347062659.8139477, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.761773453855585, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1065318859.6069471, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.0342991767557, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9499207518886986, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "950300", "hs_description": "Tricycles, scooters, pedal cars and similar wheeled toys: dolls' carriages: dolls: other toys: reduced-size (scale) models and similar recreational models, working or not: puzzles of all kinds", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1089390108.0765057, "current_below_peak_pct": 20.876957603503175, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8736114089311195, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "distance_km": 6831, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617, "importer_population": 143446.06, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.701394466704979, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.92081698762452, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.504952727318008 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-RUS/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-RUS/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-RUS/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-RUS/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-RUS/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }