{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.700Z", "seo": { "title": "China exports to Montenegro: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from China to Montenegro, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MNE", "country_name": "Montenegro" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "all_history_lane_count": 39, "current_lane_count": 36, "current_product_count": 36, "first_observed_last_year": 2018, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 99958339.12718682, "attention_trade_usd": 52004316.300127834, "critical_trade_usd": 17907007.361181796, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 9717773.947654093, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 22448028.663968235, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 53871309.43982578, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 6, "high_volatility_lane_count": 14, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 8, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 14, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8242048824491524, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.24632361792562, "product_concentration_hhi": 978.7360264888022, "top1_product_share_pct": 17.966317190249622, "top3_product_share_pct": 44.471780558984996, "top_product_hs6": "851712", "top_product_trade_usd": 17958832.26569578, "top_product_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "top_attention_product_hs6": "390761", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777779, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777779, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.565059222520688, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.67723581432076, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.10321995306518117, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.522, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 1.8219999999999998, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 52.02599078197731, "critical_trade_share_pct": 17.914470686029457, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 16831788.733944494, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 79624849.59355468, "yoy_growth_pct": 373.0623159080892, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 121591682.38660976, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.705698041848656, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 93948346.54056972, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.73456152876149, "cagr_3y_pct": 77.38611542548412 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 88127552.99361448, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.1957381489855745, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4398055492223634 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 111637449.01128004, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.677123350252387, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8069198728828737 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 150214892.68296054, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.556006083391026, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.934128595346753 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 126181457.42947367, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.99936918652346, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.709695368769358 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 193629746.50273806, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.453407851912885, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.149155968129207 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 174225527.60073483, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.021300576215364, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.066983928027913 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 171521837.9014952, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5518332683345792, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.774881494218613 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 208269768.38888666, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.424636615948444, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.459300298928979 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 258980880.70020485, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.348763002717266, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.126186332155942 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 205427437.3617888, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.67853163276917, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.1971859871001955 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 206005424.19927198, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.2813581500630935, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3637270139556503 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 211326513.35253286, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.58298497427607, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.553703318314086 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 337762444.05703235, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.82965823771495, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.027797622952455 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 341621829.559326, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1426331050713223, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.364732111444603 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 361831232.7540719, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.915723600220435, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.63291584233966 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57977915.23087993, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6672641074225067, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "390761", "hs_description": "Poly(ethylene terephthalate): in primary forms, having a viscosity of 78ml/g or higher", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18547688.423766304, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.30141405240344, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9753057470603954, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "841510", "hs_description": "Air conditioning machines: comprising a motor-driven fan and elements for changing the temperature and humidity, window or wall types, self-contained or split-system", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14069244.944847673, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.768612853524172, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16918593.41569218, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.728436325229715, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6326934811241183, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "852872", "hs_description": "Reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus: incorporating a colour video display or screen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14258071.852196751, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.729715040302522, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "847130", "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12128710.243501578, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.231732387806783, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6886274432061835, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "721070", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10536661.971409414, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8127097489543259, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "850440", "hs_description": "Electrical static converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33159498.41904868, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.703412561748994, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9102985004552705, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "640399", "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14876522.382803071, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.565989500045013, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "401110", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14744499.349864108, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0356543346743707, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "distance_km": 8636, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 5809.170962, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9367.016883998498, "importer_population": 620.173, "importer_biz_entry_days": 12, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777779, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777779, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-MNE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-MNE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-MNE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-MNE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-MNE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }