{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.242Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "China exports to India: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from China to India, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "CHN",
    "country_name": "China"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "all_history_lane_count": 2167,
    "current_lane_count": 2102,
    "current_product_count": 2102,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 121958657092.9486,
    "attention_trade_usd": 93000480725.54228,
    "critical_trade_usd": 5143198017.142054,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 90969361684.418,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 9695217069.378996,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 92737103341.37346,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 117,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1121,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1381,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 535,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1324,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2646092930222725,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.125236535023046,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 143.31202679868628,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 7.370265644859714,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 16.50699493142078,
    "top_product_hs6": "851770",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 8988677004.653854,
    "top_product_description": "Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "851770",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 3785.01318359375,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.002300000051036477,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 53.079083691111116,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.23102001373737,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.929677931515151,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 45.30134208222222,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2277,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1393409.058,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.63597808578098,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.710094876388561,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8758701905197341,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.896,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.939999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 76.25574349729321,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.217165176902742,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2277,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1393409.058
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 792993984.8756803,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 718727956.0011379,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.365270139619708,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1019061237.831082,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.78678167758214,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1072746198.3933413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.268079931733993,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.596749677444972
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1257609748.290809,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.232738757251155,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.501869796569714
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1595835697.5347261,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.894348561117077,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.12595476207104
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1982530603.286705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.23149866551748,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.717821949673667
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2710402908.2481036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.71430361552592,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.170295521369805
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3581016941.894443,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.121203493286885,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.92002111304273
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 6009017803.863714,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.8019931590941,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.719769981951885
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 9387195639.754522,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.2184694097376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.29828486340815
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 14892302542.829523,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.644851075235074,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.812014206640484
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 23817893822.56328,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.93425968928712,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.25834559437082
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 30757132999.552544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.134562563275644,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.52628798246468
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 29898114525.476784,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7929081494307617,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.151954505994347
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 40740661030.08238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.26498418609791,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.59368250376614
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 52776775602.45097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.543248116375143,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.71971315626857
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 50619864712.33382,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.086856132258654,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.186132185207192
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 49359861942.669754,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4891468533637884,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.606075277579082
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 55781320877.19897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.009475071035602,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8627304856642324
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 59879961029.41742,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.347692897487135,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.759691741549711
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 59082237419.304184,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.332204624718003,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.176319221147475
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 69082416369.00398,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.925863654636064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.388944872112102
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 73865797565.7352,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.924166015242972,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.247528850080354
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 70805342314.3402,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.143264341891683,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.219201203644542
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 62329933394.07265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.970013339729347,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3705040143971243
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 90808414904.59227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.6898956244157,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.125838554762742
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 109681592423.05524,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.783511680379018,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.706007109171871
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 120302868980.85693,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.683736644553932,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.506810306376046
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 124283935116.02701,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.3092029881711005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.027262908273894
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "851770",
      "hs_description": "Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10911997373.304535,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2993593774240675,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7311340208.296364,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9108981663405062,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "847130",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5523201814.432717,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 2.2531412888652547,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1315688954328915,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "854231",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10761839571.761234,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9567178414213517,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "854140",
      "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: photosensitive, including photovoltaic cells, whether or not assembled in modules or made up into panels, light emitting diodes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4464232637.588481,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 8.500173074066575,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3722566689798896,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "852990",
      "hs_description": "Reception and transmission apparatus: for use with the apparatus of heading no. 8525 to 8528, excluding aerials and aerial reflectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3228462434.2210174,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3142573540780047,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "850760",
      "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2698841884.21492,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.42995757588823,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5627037547623042,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "854232",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: memories",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4036366953.2065043,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.954581118447549,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "854239",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5622381962.147684,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.028455493374941,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "850440",
      "hs_description": "Electrical static converters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1996862188.7927663,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0508042857183744,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "distance_km": 4252,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "importer_population": 1393409.058,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 53.079083691111116,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.23102001373737,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.929677931515151,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 45.30134208222222
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-IND/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-IND/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-IND/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-IND/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-IND/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}