{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.329Z", "seo": { "title": "China exports to Estonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from China to Estonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "importer": { "iso3": "EST", "country_name": "Estonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "all_history_lane_count": 277, "current_lane_count": 261, "current_product_count": 261, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1011357799.3374366, "attention_trade_usd": 294386017.76177937, "critical_trade_usd": 113766195.80747634, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 510682619.0859091, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 277670761.79706085, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 256429091.56354377, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 3, "high_attention_lane_count": 25, "high_volatility_lane_count": 132, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 107, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 55, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1471413983882448, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 36.01801960420757, "product_concentration_hhi": 389.02379736966014, "top1_product_share_pct": 14.665493000418126, "top3_product_share_pct": 27.1753821021118, "top_product_hs6": "851712", "top_product_trade_usd": 148320607.27101454, "top_product_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "top_attention_product_hs6": "851770", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 6372.0908203125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.004600000102072954, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6898412402145597, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.0168441373180075, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.9032262108659005, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36262.924354, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 27281, "buyer_population_latest": 1329.254, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.235608076538068, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.522533158466936, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6757560652948857, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.938, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.318, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 29.107998964821185, "critical_trade_share_pct": 11.248857316570572, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36262.924354, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 27281, "buyer_population_2024": 1329.254 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 8459453.420579506, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 11180789.35774785, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.16916982541789, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 13481107.359438792, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.57384258023709, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 17907198.361712374, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.831805906320135, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.399041081714028 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 22777276.88628042, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.196205828494247, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.768040853669305 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 105733953.63533391, "yoy_growth_pct": 364.20805332976965, "cagr_3y_pct": 98.68403354629314 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 308690069.3891451, "yoy_growth_pct": 191.9498030441451, "cagr_3y_pct": 158.3241473912248 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 187893376.2746733, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.132030827396456, "cagr_3y_pct": 102.05513393041699 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 228098025.49654034, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.397587301371157, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.211852021918272 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 310495921.47035754, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.123897080848245, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.19462261332907627 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 461320540.6000023, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.57539461884484, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.90574376267954 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 648535946.5177988, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.582499464320534, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.66769973777056 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 781666996.6949288, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.527936946587786, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.03645058333007 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 791857235.0376971, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3036546746702848, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.733230133134704 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 493067300.1142678, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.732803553812964, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.730840835592735 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 785946117.9883482, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.39935943961525, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.18214646813448088 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1290516155.8116152, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.19906228619445, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.680774745794036 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1343682240.5950098, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.119753522183389, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.6786809883124 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1312487919.4592142, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.321554917774471, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.64083114632202 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1349700058.568487, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8352366949484287, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5058970612827904 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1128990288.8068683, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.35250501475912, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.637839386997667 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1151557949.5577993, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9989242577791222, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.266597562583307 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1251554813.3704326, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.683615431688207, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4851247822918587 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1369766676.1386023, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.445200602107517, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.656042093358172 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1219370611.714584, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.979684864869643, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9256075138033735 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1267675321.0391681, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9614460821441044, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.42751585931102287 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1625907951.6238894, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.259020637166188, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.880614428557762 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1692391455.1587424, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.089007835188463, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.546265094889119 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1550431192.5988874, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.388145787851398, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.9419635489100795 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1507988277.822956, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7374910269179376, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.478433183372253 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 472358276.2233993, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.53991543185896, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.422569369342212, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "851770", "hs_description": "Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 110442976.98994267, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.80394165638364, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9575370450661131, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "847130", "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 148172648.942782, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.395335238663066, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9060973647459523, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "854140", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: photosensitive, including photovoltaic cells, whether or not assembled in modules or made up into panels, light emitting diodes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75332345.45022634, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.51212306290378, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.196764999620854, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "853400", "hs_description": "Circuits: printed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50774571.0655317, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.00309819329611, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.599078953361932, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "850760", "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58930967.89572595, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6814156578129702, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130641395.25353573, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.27379823947726, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0186838885724159, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "950300", "hs_description": "Tricycles, scooters, pedal cars and similar wheeled toys: dolls' carriages: dolls: other toys: reduced-size (scale) models and similar recreational models, working or not: puzzles of all kinds", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 66260597.85339834, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.310939038003866, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8027198578379555, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "850440", "hs_description": "Electrical static converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 107363413.72972621, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.96448328515121, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0312979121944648, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "853710", "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51978343.44161822, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.902797343779486, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2984824644145925, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "EST", "distance_km": 7432, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173, "importer_population": 1329.254, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6898412402145597, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.920070348183908, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.0168441373180075, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.9032262108659005 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-EST/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-EST/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-EST/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-EST/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-EST/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }