{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.339Z", "seo": { "title": "China exports to Djibouti: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from China to Djibouti, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "importer": { "iso3": "DJI", "country_name": "Djibouti" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "all_history_lane_count": 100, "current_lane_count": 94, "current_product_count": 94, "first_observed_last_year": 2010, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1465774857.3814166, "attention_trade_usd": 1461250875.5970023, "critical_trade_usd": 90454191.91470365, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1295004245.503441, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 136881920.27185953, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1455927183.0861068, "access_friction_trade_usd": 1465774857.3814166, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 6, "high_attention_lane_count": 74, "high_volatility_lane_count": 69, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 26, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 89, "access_friction_lane_count": 94, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.316391767804828, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.263884199841772, "product_concentration_hhi": 332.3476361271747, "top1_product_share_pct": 9.363654804708558, "top3_product_share_pct": 25.316163167249766, "top_product_hs6": "870423", "top_product_trade_usd": 137250097.859405, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870423", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 7769.80322265625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 14, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3371.102124, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3364, "buyer_population_latest": 1002.197, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.095048927741176, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.600855421625805, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4284715933656322, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.69135902682243, "critical_trade_share_pct": 6.171083605315664, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3371.102124, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3364, "buyer_population_2024": 1002.197 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 9865891, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 9813317, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5328864873937911, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 13439986.999999998, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.95661721719576, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 30914977, "yoy_growth_pct": 130.02237278949752, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.33364985614854 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 38214152.14897775, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.610482223479412, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.326832901674884 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 54107730.999999985, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.5908189956987, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.08167601151257 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 47318798, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.547066518091443, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.24486728517591 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 49793765.13186571, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.230409977585881, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.22370712521403 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 65857919.999999985, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.26137815767211, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.770078654747769 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 72219816.93657401, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.660033199612172, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.135051542622291 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 111458361.20048687, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.332101531596976, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.811490929934713 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 154949985.88123646, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.02051332202758, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.00292036222845 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 165278417.6872489, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.665655209500176, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.78113824415616 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 245892479.9056909, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.774705945567234, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.179979230222422 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 288085658.43015975, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.159198419021003, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.963636725964818 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 430715716.30900717, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.509600254337215, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.6125969950599 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 508848572.0482676, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.14023792974524, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.432764405453437 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 902579617.7840817, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.37685971111779, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.32593047783524 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 1018881168.190247, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.885461638464268, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.242960037603474 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 1112167364.483529, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.155748403808307, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.775844082617798 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 1903006476.236096, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.10792287272506, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.228604161904848 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 2060544512.102796, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.278376234341067, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.459896423957517 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 2052189507.8524683, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.40547555276063685, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.654204085484043 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 1742801717.7122288, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.075985378367962, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8888185677366174 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 2046558970.595843, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.429249110584742, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.22675725843150918 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 2099642764.7107444, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.5938072089584763, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7649086741427169 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 2246323041.061452, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.985963460832578, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.828191167946887 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 2966426863.233338, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.05700199876935, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.171340670279985 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 3029855916.9145207, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.138230828049026, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.003576500129753 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "export_value_usd": 2726893175.8764052, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.999245817162162, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.67565162978021 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "hs_code": "870423", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 139535006.98953053, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0321745424161985, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "hs_code": "640299", "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.s. in heading no. 6402, (other than just covering the ankle), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 136106572.42092955, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.971298864737307, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1916788690872837, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "hs_code": "870380", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only electric motor for propulsion", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130436553.70445882, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8823388936577863, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "hs_code": "720839", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61274621.56219213, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.752119639230339, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "hs_code": "721041", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, corrugated, plated or coated with zinc (not electrolytically)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62947050.34145652, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.363935708081726, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1813683761762552, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "hs_code": "720711", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55620300.992974594, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4706159526195115, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "hs_code": "721049", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, (not corrugated), plated or coated with zinc (not electrolytically)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51050006.2843829, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.33736394404258, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0963739433809476, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39519372.14987899, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7973566563021957, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "hs_code": "691010", "hs_description": "Ceramic sinks, wash basins, wash basin pedestals, baths, bidets, water closet pans, flushing cisterns, urinals and similar sanitary fixtures: of porcelain or china", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28435440.72569085, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.49546388795861, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4629123891966713, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "hs_code": "940190", "hs_description": "Seat: parts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25873975.007172555, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3715097154308644, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DJI", "distance_km": 8250, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3371.1021239999995, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3363.7120486291615, "importer_population": 1002.197, "importer_biz_entry_days": 14, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 39.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-DJI/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-DJI/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-DJI/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-DJI/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-DJI/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }