{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.343Z", "seo": { "title": "China exports to Bahrain: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from China to Bahrain, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BHR", "country_name": "Bahrain" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "all_history_lane_count": 144, "current_lane_count": 130, "current_product_count": 130, "first_observed_last_year": 2004, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 936581862.4884849, "attention_trade_usd": 657135330.729247, "critical_trade_usd": 84974762.16204745, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 677904173.9027939, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 184979660.7114672, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 626386209.1273259, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 4, "high_attention_lane_count": 42, "high_volatility_lane_count": 83, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 44, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 64, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.213226267622603, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.125989099489566, "product_concentration_hhi": 507.56620479458644, "top1_product_share_pct": 15.931884916547883, "top3_product_share_pct": 30.17391472378379, "top_product_hs6": "851712", "top_product_trade_usd": 149215144.48092616, "top_product_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "top_attention_product_hs6": "851712", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 6184.8701171875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939395, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939395, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.3, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 38868.663032, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 22232, "buyer_population_latest": 1748.295, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.09682223752612, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6976782015584613, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3757875899532923, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.208000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 45.017999999999994, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 70.16314932506248, "critical_trade_share_pct": 9.072860106031811, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 38868.663032, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 22232, "buyer_population_2024": 1748.295 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 41503537.95768341, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 50554074.97602625, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.806663874223652, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 59027013.27233153, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.760149009398972, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 58284648.044133484, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2576703225233743, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.984097140507366 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 63097903.31410897, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.258187072401736, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.667902698319273 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 81298854.76975146, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.845572514566697, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.261404955928601 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 84625444.8320463, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.0918043331805265, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.235411349207315 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 94235985.37772511, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.356561333004, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.305540772181246 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 122980775.62104507, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.502986866537785, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.793579940517688 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 155500663.14880875, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.44306588858325, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.48336058789604 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 258016735.15003967, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.92645325449615, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.89763299020061 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 298534844.5554993, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.70367495034688, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.39587328910112 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 404951151.07956713, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.64619288663453, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.58047275557319 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 812533953.5252868, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.64986884446108, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.57656757708628 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 574674280.8544341, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.2738133143688, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.39671468351394 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 925028919.5203013, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.96577667351928, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.699529738459333 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1016802907.310079, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.9212020135943, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.761862055669244 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1278559299.225293, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.7430805944175, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.54684228798219 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1227484446.4621198, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.9947191181606057, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.888833300384858 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1354110252.449769, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.315878653502498, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.02019634368625 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1172094246.3526607, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.441741968042608, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.856468781453503 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1049622011.1998311, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.449009158942669, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.084098443649998 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1260946349.8375297, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.13337528965613, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3480633223350256 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1601581644.2571416, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.01425754263869, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.967427011466668 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1799770859.2173805, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.374593307240644, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.690981607574454 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1386357029.4131663, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.970359125826977, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.211041375408552 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1548819560.6866665, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.71866466044964, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1104089910582648 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 2008778698.6306129, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.697399853345363, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7301389307704103 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1771913494.4170837, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.791503184248242, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.523171107796257 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1621116493.0740702, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.510404250441251, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5323566098607744 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 269421175.1410682, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.79822587850528, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0469357002159074, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "280469", "hs_description": "Silicon: containing by weight less than 99.99% of silicon", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70894063.29809017, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.83621677520707, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0899232800921341, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 364098387.800032, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.605043616769755, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 145594973.46215856, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6557841106528082, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "270810", "hs_description": "Pitch: obtained from coal tar or from other mineral tars", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44319364.36540006, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.36965733698027, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.928579141651536, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "854519", "hs_description": "Carbon electrodes: with or without metal, of a kind used for other than furnaces", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71730368.59561592, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.0583644899193, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.073066392228939, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "841510", "hs_description": "Air conditioning machines: comprising a motor-driven fan and elements for changing the temperature and humidity, window or wall types, self-contained or split-system", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39512874.856170684, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.989614539981629, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9061764443906959, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "810411", "hs_description": "Magnesium: unwrought, containing at least 99.8% by weight of magnesium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32122799.956216164, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.50598288241171, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0679649910214786, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51672636.37049016, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.48403107169105, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.03815835950745, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "020714", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45243798.62463331, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7876311443902719, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "distance_km": 6828, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 38868.663032000004, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22232.325226577894, "importer_population": 1748.295, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.3, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939395, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939395, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-BHR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-BHR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-BHR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-BHR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHN-BHR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }