{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.726Z", "seo": { "title": "Chile exports to Kenya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Chile to Kenya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CHL", "country_name": "Chile" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "all_history_lane_count": 21, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 20951420.017401405, "attention_trade_usd": 18910669.320677545, "critical_trade_usd": 12773723.396656979, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 12773723.396656979, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 12773723.396656979, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 19819923.97693987, "access_friction_trade_usd": 20951420.017401405, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 4, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9087840377652775, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 45.70670958525338, "product_concentration_hhi": 4623.114111551448, "top1_product_share_pct": 60.96829420653893, "top3_product_share_pct": 95.6601764677185, "top_product_hs6": "271113", "top_product_trade_usd": 12773723.396656979, "top_product_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271113", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 11551.51953125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.70580397151516, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.70580397151516, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 110347.079517, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2007.0000000000002, "buyer_population_latest": 54985.703, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6939927181435905, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6964619039059992, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9642087608958247, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.871999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 6.416000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 90.25960677114537, "critical_trade_share_pct": 60.96829420653893, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 110347.079517, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2007.0000000000002, "buyer_population_2024": 54985.703 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 434261.18735353474, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 356867.49585514853, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.82192232514197, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 114239.30294723663, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.98831379319398, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 115245.39260084917, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.8806860928390003, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.7375145189848 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1360625.3992067697, "yoy_growth_pct": 1080.633228366254, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.22259952206679 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 111772.11622939925, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.78523961888693, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7251339550582547 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 338604.86840434547, "yoy_growth_pct": 202.94216467137335, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.22644376642562 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 230353.3907155649, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.969852707348533, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.679595732839594 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 237740.28448456374, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.206765807115919, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.604579815633336 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 881794.6275206924, "yoy_growth_pct": 270.9066931725433, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.5808801622594 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2302401.199555712, "yoy_growth_pct": 161.1040176134077, "cagr_3y_pct": 115.40815015906594 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2104356.023166371, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.6016796910789, "cagr_3y_pct": 106.85791665567291 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3129925.0004384653, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.73552602230047, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.5417862134099 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2670698.213905938, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.672133883981086, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.070614215474967 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2833395.208541992, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.091927339034964, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.423789208401013 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3062999.0062911706, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.103486483529698, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7178953754326978 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2909666.8151025716, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.0059497529599595, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8978139464184816 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3501589.555938547, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.343316896752974, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.313088550888547 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2693339.531001267, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.08237479080101, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.196490954711618 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3603993.2421274125, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.81132236185624, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.394053723078842 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2987259.4072386185, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.11251363292624, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.157593214484624 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3379625.1278071175, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.134638378499464, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.859683527421679 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2537411.083553306, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.920339162003025, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.038460842094533 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 12188599.01587354, "yoy_growth_pct": 380.3557096000792, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.79393224365599 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 61696518.60384077, "yoy_growth_pct": 406.18219963994005, "cagr_3y_pct": 163.30799292567605 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 4012085.6282754005, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.49706317460571, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.50014170559617 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3140883.755760888, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.714438654416245, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.36451508010742 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3073495.4562905873, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1455203283693547, "cagr_3y_pct": -63.20484480945194 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 5012306.018078751, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.081614707448466, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.701675997872526 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 22725964.389049992, "yoy_growth_pct": 353.40336976793367, "cagr_3y_pct": 93.41500031385772 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "271113", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 253830742.41484967, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.55997350897324, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2497083492668, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "271112", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61471886.988986656, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2243224630948987, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "120991", "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22192456.2635411, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9864581705173381, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "220421", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16210113.867854832, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.829289352326306, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6423491556551566, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CHL", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "distance_km": 11548, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "importer_population": 54985.703, "importer_biz_entry_days": 23, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 22.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 317058.508652, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 16502.838570915956, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.70580397151516, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.70580397151516, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHL-KEN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHL-KEN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHL-KEN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHL-KEN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHL-KEN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }