{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.345Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Chile exports to Germany: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Chile to Germany, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "CHL",
    "country_name": "Chile"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "DEU",
    "country_name": "Germany"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
    "importer_iso3": "DEU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 238,
    "current_lane_count": 120,
    "current_product_count": 120,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1475409694.533907,
    "attention_trade_usd": 217310292.17195895,
    "critical_trade_usd": 79886667.3946997,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 213179496.141044,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 583517433.3514884,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1159127.0371943119,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 239504963.1778497,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 3,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 22,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 50,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 66,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 3,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 47,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7084043543011479,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 33.60524290897696,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2034.9964575427512,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 38.20075156985825,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 66.80618209802293,
    "top_product_hs6": "260300",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 563617592.0465022,
    "top_product_description": "Copper ores and concentrates",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "080222",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 12098.4111328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03959999978542328,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.589726606740741,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.3054506297908968,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.572813052925152,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802,
    "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 14.728810104545836,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 5.414541309486006,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4223116.205969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 50802,
    "buyer_population_2024": 83129.288
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 959692493.8040628,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 877128815.6984959,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.603138884446015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 810146131.7751182,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.636584584219408,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 666285580.7982235,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.757358251119538,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.452540471548133
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 605238584.2720721,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.16228690601647,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.633481943860879
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 615418177.6570426,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6819141491472678,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.756419516185055
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 595404366.358223,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.2520669725769613,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6798389304996904
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 489221016.56436974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.83382114634483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.847860744154488
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 714907335.9769887,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.13177107507278,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.121886136460785
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1190554926.833671,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.53276122935077,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.983153143376427
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1292979287.8786516,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.603077332801634,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.25966091420228
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 2416870782.8954687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.92262169649668,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.08405648855836
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 2520271192.3724213,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.278276282237825,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.400272741262334
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 2444547816.396661,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.004572531913896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.652335305207338
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1614209370.7511208,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.96695454578935,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.588452107954407
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1565620566.8122475,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.0100682612357765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.674322074763868
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1928984907.7889473,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.208965740437627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.591887896954241
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1620861504.299593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.97334443858005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.13717792230580894
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1500384771.907503,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.432882579573052,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4086734852271965
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1447738072.3413134,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5088798921397713,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.123054384906059
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1178980365.6292915,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.563973127914025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.066763795100464
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1051647132.2152542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.800284476838772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.170790340759707
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1382636315.2147133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.473407083062476,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5219769966103414
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1288140406.015335,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.834473256599205,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9956486128578153
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1027379757.6755551,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.24318522438118,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.775179731359088
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1213141042.9196024,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.081073123762124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.265653110589652
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1205626592.0289564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.619421042137136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1825046429630457
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1264505619.4680412,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.883686858631475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.167537852939376
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1323142657.5773492,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.637151247613724,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9354873519190416
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1505640495.7249618,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.792755989120842,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.688540127882448
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "260300",
      "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2318534219.066317,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.008374434993328,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4490447033176931,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "740311",
      "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3670237216.9740987,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.29536914340002,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7584415895495117,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "470329",
      "hs_description": "Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, soda or sulphate, (other than dissolving grades), semi-bleached or bleached, of non-coniferous wood",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1157746859.851225,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.955391687891824,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7169197870738315,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "080440",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: avocados, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 515944340.8015238,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 12.833735768547182,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1280958501437004,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "080222",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: hazelnuts or filberts (corylus spp.), fresh or dried, shelled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 554488438.9901466,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.568235784807094,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3552807301461016,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "081040",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: cranberries, bilberries and other fruits of the genus vaccinium, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 584552987.9138402,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1412286242372172,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "080810",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 619486225.3612427,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.41629154453461,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6389901261688542,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "080232",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: walnuts, fresh or dried, shelled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 233474476.91815057,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.03431968330984,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.046954719703874,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19171045683.569923,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.0323152549732,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9654625536610086,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "283691",
      "hs_description": "Carbonates: lithium carbonate",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51437093.35639972,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.95970101179216,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.797472523736538,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "CHL",
    "importer_iso3": "DEU",
    "distance_km": 12507,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783,
    "importer_population": 83129.288,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 317058.508652,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 16502.838570915956,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.589726606740741,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.3054506297908968,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.572813052925152
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHL-DEU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHL-DEU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHL-DEU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHL-DEU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CHL-DEU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}