{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.373Z", "seo": { "title": "Canada exports to Sri Lanka: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Canada to Sri Lanka, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CAN", "country_name": "Canada" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LKA", "country_name": "Sri Lanka" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "all_history_lane_count": 66, "current_lane_count": 33, "current_product_count": 33, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 69209256.78139979, "attention_trade_usd": 63262676.908954486, "critical_trade_usd": 49695910.05451888, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 16827811.892664604, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 53935930.57720292, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 53850144.89683064, "access_friction_trade_usd": 69209256.78139979, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 2, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 19, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 23, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 19, "access_friction_lane_count": 33, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8797838474966573, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 66.83532076261938, "product_concentration_hhi": 3544.430011382698, "top1_product_share_pct": 54.70208893526549, "top3_product_share_pct": 87.44376826077841, "top_product_hs6": "100199", "top_product_trade_usd": 37858909.19599757, "top_product_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100199", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 14029.9052734375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.08500000089406967, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 84518.83039300001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3815, "buyer_population_latest": 22156, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1452073861579324, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.039656303460391, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.1034412369869564, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.916000000000004, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.772, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 91.40782584730275, "critical_trade_share_pct": 71.80529363504856, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 84518.83039300001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3815, "buyer_population_2024": 22156 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 16467314.769306598, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 34489518.42423151, "yoy_growth_pct": 109.44227342102226, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 35652530.4972043, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.372073969451783, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 23458247.695576657, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.20313405968156, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.518584546333077 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 30118742.53390798, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.39297685302915, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.4164326346678 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 30334748.182637155, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7171801694111135, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.241827138161392 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 20355499.213676672, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.89708854307336, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.618957833813875 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 13134101.386143656, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.47639756573018, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.16765091673695 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 33414730.300209094, "yoy_growth_pct": 154.4120021447474, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2759476448142255 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 37008358.30720886, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.754622212160347, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.05044132391125 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 93330313.2263625, "yoy_growth_pct": 152.18712068128318, "cagr_3y_pct": 92.25344011327508 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 211329920.22795895, "yoy_growth_pct": 126.43224148985901, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.93013057668463 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 208874852.88129047, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1617225540142329, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.04458878913647 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 341456314.16183156, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.47411354295049, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.08870605165384 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 269721295.9020981, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.00854934717504, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.472108676750079 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 291583582.17641336, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.105509874997296, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.761520935082448 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 309761792.10738516, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.23430503023783, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1950496110502935 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 304858850.03655237, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5828104678362265, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.166448287992464 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 225639148.5922166, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.985698442028948, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.1913090463833 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 261251139.14523357, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.782718014672303, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.519224744678786 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 257601572.27118805, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3969573055207518, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.459788958291623 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 217008353.67243227, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.758140853279256, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2916255396807075 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 182250161.9390266, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.01698328437261, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.310968974113377 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 195438758.44831946, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.236534864482169, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.794563001428202 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 176852013.4173536, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.510265608794699, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.593338046393848 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 182584899.28982297, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.241628840798283, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.06118561060299843 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 111387732.41320536, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.99400616017211, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.089623125838482 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 91496883.11775696, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.857306962369112, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.721589712364775 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 117018336.26889987, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.893248689462634, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.782315656039978 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 94320725.66779983, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.396627336200144, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.393003118825823 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "100199", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 253395262.04399896, "current_below_peak_pct": 86.31475052995702, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8076568540286672, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "071340", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: lentils, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 114078878.42275935, "current_below_peak_pct": 86.50062354865888, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0592526474017225, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "710231", "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted, but not mounted or set", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 73342912.48253661, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7207208483236925, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "071310", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: peas (pisum sativum), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21285759.817154378, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.98452465828686, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9000154881729157, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33712066.12722115, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4948610479938778, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "390110", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54840887.4297774, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.85202075027004, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9987160347004793, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "854231", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11322990.578354515, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.27605234301822, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3508200326594655, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "590390", "hs_description": "Textile fabrics: impregnated, coated, covered or laminated with plastics, (excluding polyvinyl chloride, polyurethane and those of heading no. 5902)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18401368.742906213, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1473668649527662, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "392190", "hs_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil and strip, other than cellular", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10773067.315151814, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.56336228403561, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.494448421058184, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "847330", "hs_description": "Machines: parts and accessories of automatic data processing, magnetic or optical readers, digital processing units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37132463.49400521, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1209961542186022, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "distance_km": 14023, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733, "importer_population": 22156, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-LKA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-LKA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-LKA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-LKA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-LKA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }