{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.775Z", "seo": { "title": "Canada exports to Lebanon: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Canada to Lebanon, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CAN", "country_name": "Canada" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LBN", "country_name": "Lebanon" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "all_history_lane_count": 64, "current_lane_count": 40, "current_product_count": 40, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 37441513.82548101, "attention_trade_usd": 32473182.74310083, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 14947343.707817165, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 21349762.411679726, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 13104096.580822874, "access_friction_trade_usd": 37441513.82548101, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 37441513.82548101, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 10, "high_volatility_lane_count": 21, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 28, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 16, "access_friction_lane_count": 40, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9826998768108716, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 57.48922694371434, "product_concentration_hhi": 1321.2979847625354, "top1_product_share_pct": 26.03374238075248, "top3_product_share_pct": 55.23198535671767, "top_product_hs6": "300490", "top_product_trade_usd": 9747427.252779549, "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "top_attention_product_hs6": "300490", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "distance_km": 9173.4736328125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.3916562497615814, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454542, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454542, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18076.62484, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2670, "buyer_population_latest": 6769.151, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.20448672321533, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -17.144054688959663, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.03920581721326144, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.9, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -1.5939999999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 86.73042146335717, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18076.62484, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2670, "buyer_population_2024": 6769.151 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 42509701.66879032, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 44801468.15541026, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.391161068303862, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 48895928.76210071, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.13912149594589, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 31580460.080598027, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.412904754810434, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.431578506051142 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 31288260.570697498, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9252541259842095, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.278326601352283 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 25613008.96477603, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.13859736017581, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.38869215762743 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 23578502.312796045, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.9432551434230785, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.280791119865505 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 21563553.348128725, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.54570378532401, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.669036177075808 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 22179848.598055452, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.858041251258858, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.68395976431033 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 32374802.000945922, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.96493685617078, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.146801259819327 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 36348440.34611041, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.27386145882341, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.011378157354496 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 45856848.71200475, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.159054626154866, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.39387358247878 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 63610928.23699102, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.7163096105609, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.249174065825564 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 72955532.51855399, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.690249836865132, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.14135263734645 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 138419836.00657454, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.73178760825537, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.5211386348074 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 62335218.96889258, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.96655626298255, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6730151945842366 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 84529400.6323711, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.6045619644878, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.030762710381098 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 124568997.10003941, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.367656895859824, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.453349240459136 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 72969357.90912615, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.42253722206208, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.390713595196894 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 76813003.02751936, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.267478334097397, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1404787199905138 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 90868901.1547161, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.298852503085982, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.980809590169393 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 114109034.92385946, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.57545372929515, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.071742047994665 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 118288365.24864693, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6625761733732665, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.478844208992882 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 113711025.87896618, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.8696446265522377, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.7612036861509415 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 102532922.14467794, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.83027252448342, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.502861710068239 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 56804985.39490894, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.598296618568135, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.69043571596382 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 110983291.43014178, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.37597036348939, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8060904307229944 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 147687294.9349311, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.07164802180389, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.934491410810134 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 66901779.349072464, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.700382738712605, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.604819523671067 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 48885371.37646746, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.92963946235428, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.91358773789397 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 399902871.2064962, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.14833355822161, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6827030706024727, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 146609052.33306774, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.26421438093877, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3709835138157669, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "870324", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15108898.505829478, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.75732192830885, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7562902003294651, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "071340", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: lentils, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10383298.723977363, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.83865213355627, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6024293397153027, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "071320", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: chickpeas (garbanzos), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20281190.116359673, "current_below_peak_pct": 78.84730048123939, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.071817330871551, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "870899", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61942567.041128084, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.42735608919764, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7774294361709407, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "871000", "hs_description": "Tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles: motorised, whether or not fitted with weapons, and parts of such vehicles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15029704.773374505, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8525841052546226, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92854623.05255453, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.62317175110218, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5217506345839705, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "870390", "hs_description": "Vehicles: for transport of persons (other than those of heading no. 8702) n.e.s. in heading no. 8703, including station wagons and racing cars", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13020528.746791279, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.71876069086916, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3035690570658058, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "040210", "hs_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated or containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content not exceeding 1.5% (by weight)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33368899.987581473, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.699703689824467, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9045407984125347, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "distance_km": 9181, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553, "importer_population": 6769.151, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 42.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454542, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454542, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-LBN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-LBN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-LBN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-LBN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-LBN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }