{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.717Z", "seo": { "title": "Canada exports to Kazakhstan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Canada to Kazakhstan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CAN", "country_name": "Canada" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KAZ", "country_name": "Kazakhstan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "all_history_lane_count": 283, "current_lane_count": 174, "current_product_count": 174, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 146658095.32516187, "attention_trade_usd": 104205216.82510436, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 77961981.74363065, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 34157375.043152004, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 72252695.04345565, "access_friction_trade_usd": 146658095.32516187, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 19, "high_volatility_lane_count": 125, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 98, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 63, "access_friction_lane_count": 174, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9932338331979164, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 32.57858103533752, "product_concentration_hhi": 924.0722278344685, "top1_product_share_pct": 26.665204689427092, "top3_product_share_pct": 40.61403937615419, "top_product_hs6": "880240", "top_product_trade_usd": 39106681.31206952, "top_product_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg", "top_attention_product_hs6": "880240", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 10079.048828125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0011999999405816197, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409964, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409964, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 190814.274226, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 10041, "buyer_population_latest": 19002.586, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.917422718979218, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.399650809013636, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4001630989012082, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.696000000000005, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 36.538, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 71.0531638871121, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 190814.274226, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 10041, "buyer_population_2024": 19002.586 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 4043145.4761139364, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 8258230.171726512, "yoy_growth_pct": 104.25261026382601, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 11542662.261023711, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.77162201826276, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 24940662.481914464, "yoy_growth_pct": 116.07374380286592, "cagr_3y_pct": 83.39868008676143 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 8953536.495278846, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.10064687827986, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7312426982947002 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 18434280.317385823, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.88825797612063, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.888934439533543 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 28957225.94466477, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.083571726716656, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.1032930137650645 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 31179289.205151517, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.67360542316089, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.573705331921516 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 38553750.29882573, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.65179348750448, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.883195875620224 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 69441227.45588942, "yoy_growth_pct": 80.11536340215508, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.85054526278992 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 105420829.06938046, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.81302654297993, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.09056956393154 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 116283840.15613987, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.304425778714133, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.48327539335282 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 173913621.95182934, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.559579145569344, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.801761622102624 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 269176326.09750396, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.77587268699431, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.67953039570475 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 213014874.447084, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.864186856490697, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.35738544958177 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 165294121.3663443, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.402544988751117, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6801359249082881 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 159312791.60688245, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.618597993697137, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.040225755975403 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 142682397.7082379, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.438831515601986, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.504277284461441 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 188446565.02398628, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.07415073674933, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.46647463823493 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 139664756.64095068, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.88628154449323, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.292627447276709 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 154666540.63146177, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.741281015566152, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7248047263217945 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 78411108.16826624, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.303121510227854, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.34427419707107 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 123396094.39810838, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.37068035476129, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.044134202731787 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 93759614.16883498, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.017356767920294, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.36698489054914 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 143441306.6961187, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.988371344853036, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.301621126021985 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 43721731.45594119, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.51942751848604, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.238236759833935 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 60042971.70324939, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.32981220964513, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.804990399954809 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 77124142.64983891, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.448243752840654, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.684743026451876 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 141643888.32273403, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.65700214760167, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.967667992572814 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 166352104.73709285, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.443898714543504, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.45009603174785 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "880240", "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1454172233.2561312, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.69920823434754, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2443785892195868, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "880230", "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 2000kg but not exceeding 15,000kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67286607.0924817, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.787608593956996, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0287410666924925, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "843390", "hs_description": "Harvesting machinery: parts, including parts of threshing machinery, straw or fodder balers and grass or hay mowers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 89772082.1195938, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.614657292110028, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5976568554988723, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "843359", "hs_description": "Harvesting machinery: n.e.c. in heading no. 8433", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32584870.35885098, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.259763783446115, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9472218791444629, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "847490", "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 123247008.02194557, "current_below_peak_pct": 66.65832342649975, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4416107072664104, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "843143", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70042336.69049531, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.261990206934065, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6011501949694091, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "300220", "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 104643335.26334713, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.363540327177194, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5216195070477931, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "840790", "hs_description": "Engines: rotary internal combustion piston engines, for other than aircraft or marine propulsion", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10153080.631937366, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.0422342807417824, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1837726366.8194337, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.78393826712005, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9429989398280316, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "820719", "hs_description": "Tools, interchangeable: rock drilling or earth boring tools, with working part (other than of cermets), whether or not power operated, including parts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28942651.68681025, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.836171207594365, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1733616874877324, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "distance_km": 10090, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 190814.274226, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10041.489838593548, "importer_population": 19002.586, "importer_biz_entry_days": 5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409964, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409964, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-KAZ/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-KAZ/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-KAZ/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-KAZ/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-KAZ/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }