{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.275Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Canada exports to India: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Canada to India, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "CAN",
    "country_name": "Canada"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "all_history_lane_count": 785,
    "current_lane_count": 595,
    "current_product_count": 595,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 5180760333.624032,
    "attention_trade_usd": 4665482463.709238,
    "critical_trade_usd": 758987985.6612585,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3104547991.1000175,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1263873391.9726582,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3244513748.3314996,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 5180760333.624032,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 6,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 125,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 417,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 298,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 234,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 595,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4630631425859475,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 23.536682510962503,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 682.1709872258309,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 13.082575809495767,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 35.45116892519242,
    "top_product_hs6": "710231",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 677776898.1546497,
    "top_product_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted, but not mounted or set",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "710231",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 11643.625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.19550001621246338,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 53.23102001373737,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.23102001373737,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2277,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1393409.058,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.63597808578098,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.710094876388561,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8758701905197341,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.896,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.939999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 90.05401067155044,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 14.650127332378124,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2277,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1393409.058
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 328723563.37250197,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 266409186.30706757,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.95646798973799,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 363288784.034964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.36496138546492,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 299115223.148807,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.664613857162404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.0972965339349456
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 308970372.2047397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.294766796616644,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.064471436445928
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 368094854.5207236,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.135971482988978,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.43904751899055405
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 446879021.8310385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.4032242892652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.318666638330836
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 464078427.86943656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8487834957938727,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.522683285810256
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 538799524.5778965,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.100963160796145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.541811548750449
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 675134665.2956946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.303500559805634,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.744923302599044
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 893893051.6264231,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.402185456573626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.422252691942493
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1423917847.3430455,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.293983184258046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.25661189192817
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1743611473.0242538,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.45169033295984,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.19968157717284
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2212033995.143971,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.865074551686053,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.259801329977726
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2005416693.4096215,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.340602458548641,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.091641918104035
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1977321370.9007862,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4009718080618683,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.281958923016838
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2461652355.422265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.49429777319594,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.628284246217217
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2417071304.7118087,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8110213902567507,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.421231172020914
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2767092662.5709615,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.481217710740491,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.85330324219327
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3197564304.708588,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.556820628394386,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.109907856894894
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3508029656.2426414,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.70943261647237,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.220377320880793
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3244088854.8121543,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.52390450750029,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.444276852079555
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3995383568.6963515,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.158882124013225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.707612040953515
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3295119601.556797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.52682702672381,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.065440221096815
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3825218604.8900576,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.087397953106542,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.646352202362825
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2687873732.298561,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.73280719532069,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.37726706111527
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2496455146.731265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.121561674089605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.837226749681692
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3870903350.719344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.05599432810613,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3965269798233306
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 5346186636.094962,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.112118844337985,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.760740033376607
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 5263494086.815652,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.546757621984396,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.22817382508347
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "710231",
      "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted, but not mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11147661544.162497,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.45710010621226,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4913340242487965,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "071310",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: peas (pisum sativum), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1166681254.466579,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9666048381055982,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130055084036.38712,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4288820039995762,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "270119",
      "hs_description": "Coal: (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11736200339.628296,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 4.070169028899408,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "071340",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: lentils, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 787233957.6985271,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 50.034649498843976,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1313207951954172,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "310420",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1024389614.4796566,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.590569800789474,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8229081309318572,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "270112",
      "hs_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14890888641.987432,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.8199742190401,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9356321960550641,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "480100",
      "hs_description": "Newsprint: made of fibres obtained essentially by a chemi-mechanical process or of a weight, per m2, of more than 57g but not more than 65g, in rolls or sheets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 372716551.82555354,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.282107964486077,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4582139703851541,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "260300",
      "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3615314174.2437525,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.87779975648212,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8436457521294045,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "470500",
      "hs_description": "Wood pulp: obtained by a combination of mechanical and chemical pulping processes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 302095270.1930618,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.4835038664435167,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8564944378336441,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "distance_km": 11646,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "importer_population": 1393409.058,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 53.23102001373737,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.23102001373737,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-IND/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-IND/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-IND/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-IND/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-IND/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}