{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.319Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Canada exports to Hong Kong: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Canada to Hong Kong, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "CAN",
    "country_name": "Canada"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HKG",
    "country_name": "Hong Kong"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
    "importer_iso3": "HKG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 458,
    "current_lane_count": 362,
    "current_product_count": 362,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 955933391.5502865,
    "attention_trade_usd": 861238226.4377133,
    "critical_trade_usd": 129079527.72097093,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 415983241.5775969,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 304135283.77222747,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 5847269.647072922,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 705285151.3512623,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 955933391.5502865,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 7,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 67,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 237,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 252,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 5,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 208,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 362,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0643839178607335,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.893523766398697,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1135.1512744460745,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 31.677149373900864,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 41.5258347982954,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 302812448.3563809,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 12568.1533203125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.3060000240802765,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 368139.247671,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 49661,
    "buyer_population_latest": 7413.1,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.303516880397938,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.259425330431597,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.04311734573498871,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.188,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.356,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 90.09395780609763,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 13.502983456999655,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 368139.247671,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 49661,
    "buyer_population_2024": 7413.1
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1260820797.136031,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 966561316.0476465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.338723612173773,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1284365680.8147886,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.879896959529866,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 936206937.8439863,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.10744674755977,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.446307588509272
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 723490681.1190453,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.721072460198855,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.203764221052868
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 935856374.4908549,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.35292726139016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.014299150700989
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 807981190.8653108,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.663975275598627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.791337271928953
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 721999153.8405133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.641588937573488,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.06876630462313571
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 768491681.5260969,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.439415813478022,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.356711615401068
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 849329741.6138848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.519054666571904,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6775392669623024
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 955190071.3341957,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.463984779239755,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.778603970479827
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1229783202.3040335,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.747485888990674,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.966940061828883
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1134257261.4438136,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.767705777835432,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.123095828609685
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1375566950.983005,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.27468765172591,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.926875255434545
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1004221957.5885946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.995777495892924,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.531117117070617
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1469856873.2753322,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.36772898342629,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.023760981148875
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2402843058.5924573,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.47462819547323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.433661690932546
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2028267260.7312837,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.588858228659907,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.405262778217843
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 3915805922.751604,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 93.06163435975276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.627280556545344
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 3555377358.319983,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.204454243696302,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.951513764305723
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2218847595.83351,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.59178359390862,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0387933608688966
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1213754529.7265487,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.29797666114143,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.323706025327695
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1155206375.6679885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.823722805940889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.252334015236194
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1199243874.2656507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.812089296356058,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.543325004688004
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 2061527873.3891966,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 71.90230591351236,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.31254672596412
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 879979426.7293298,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.314211556954376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.671922868693505
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1063518041.8742616,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.857148425287654,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9245447529537403
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1531620022.3128066,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.01448419376115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.42939377830987
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 985688595.1923101,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.64405134219377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8538029478511593
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 1040815618.5113384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.592742331392486,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7166750736786853
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 428806267.1762748,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9324781758962739,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30349684361.136154,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.929363436158861,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0304811951550228,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "760200",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 319076475.50954384,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.59436031409722,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8592208746544383,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "880240",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1090948050.1350474,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 73.79557085070626,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7515749662620181,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "270112",
      "hs_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 327162466.135329,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.577946091440445,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0927676513156728,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "470321",
      "hs_description": "Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, soda or sulphate, (other than dissolving grades), semi-bleached or bleached, of coniferous wood",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 184986211.06352237,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.37096596071321,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0908844919686238,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "030192",
      "hs_description": "Fish: live, eels (Anguilla spp.)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69318357.78112796,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 68.02561704726655,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.359870497847334,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "711319",
      "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17035963921.793066,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 69.41699766396705,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1637622889151538,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "030771",
      "hs_description": "Molluscs: clams, cockles and ark shells (families Arcidae, Arcticidae, Cardiidae, Donacidae, Hiatellidae, Mactridae, Mesodesmatidae, Myidae, Semelidae, Solecurtidae, Solenidae, Tridacnidae and Veneridae), whether in shell or not, live, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67934834.38400246,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.72176349790726,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5548043005070724,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "260111",
      "hs_description": "Iron ores and concentrates: non-agglomerated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 81294594.97050682,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7593314101853628,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
    "importer_iso3": "HKG",
    "distance_km": 12568,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 368139.247671,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 49660.63423817296,
    "importer_population": 7413.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-HKG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-HKG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-HKG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-HKG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-HKG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}