{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.770Z", "seo": { "title": "Canada exports to Guatemala: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Canada to Guatemala, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CAN", "country_name": "Canada" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GTM", "country_name": "Guatemala" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "all_history_lane_count": 212, "current_lane_count": 172, "current_product_count": 172, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 367305891.3676482, "attention_trade_usd": 301627798.421021, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 296630628.3567765, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10409431.689941714, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 327119961.8075751, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 19, "high_volatility_lane_count": 134, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 76, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 86, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.553870815832473, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.890322137190395, "product_concentration_hhi": 1632.1718041728473, "top1_product_share_pct": 30.170289128919826, "top3_product_share_pct": 62.656248190792375, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 110817249.41317563, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 3398.818359375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.02579999901354313, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 85986.321551, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5026, "buyer_population_latest": 17109.747, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.963421520392089, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.390193560081858, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4787339957434753, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.206, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.184, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 82.11896555699731, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 85986.321551, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5026, "buyer_population_2024": 17109.747 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 36684346.186686344, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 52173633.55474217, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.223152320150305, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 63211756.29673098, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.156515254792964, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 80932436.15147546, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.033835623170166, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.180902102713027 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 112747072.38706827, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.31011810400422, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.285969564318282 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 90259661.44001976, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.94500652739587, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.606972148520356 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 91282769.89545327, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1335168325591338, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.093129495720205 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 79095978.92768942, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.350592868425737, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.144760070100467 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 79900694.86426428, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0173917150839484, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.982081863414233 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 101736472.95455576, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.328646049181703, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6802309151799717 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 156674998.91853166, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.000816392087955, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.588083088487213 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 152200270.06652462, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.8560580072726327, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.961918487643818 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 125374743.70535077, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.625150303247683, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.212262328764396 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 162228357.60848597, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.394767091007303, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1678119063558423 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 97443047.85030077, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.93463948795865, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.812328941106788 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 98320417.56772114, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9003923181551743, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.7829513662894705 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 114155162.46665034, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.105245777686548, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.054715549024463 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 105125392.79800105, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.910084374228166, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.561789704510864 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 92937835.45784047, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.593352486757436, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8591956603644433 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 88302892.89011991, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.98714279807293, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.20342906438749 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 91775938.46126023, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.933105085766586, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.425859551474376 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 85626104.02329813, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.700922421575695, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6943905945941538 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 85186158.79336125, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5137980233424821, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1906517693978436 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 92273426.3463457, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.319740734144677, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.1803637872011432 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 84386709.57380858, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.5471159843296, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.48482990396182535 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 91199511.12919575, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.0733110578608, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2997309708247204 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 188518070.34684822, "yoy_growth_pct": 106.70951851900642, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.889429889760464 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 236890570.76282987, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.659344129176944, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.06672170177252 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 335426852.9005037, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.59569619861585, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.36011936226248 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "export_value_usd": 398134810.9737045, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.694972549440347, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.299723978583067 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2022120633.6693263, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1021894254475715, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "100199", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 169548798.47686395, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.73023387025915, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0764609894811508, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "310420", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42873581.00001979, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.0482377505313, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8690207351344171, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "310490", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, n.e.c. in heading no. 3104", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24485898.456416532, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.274345481369437, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3311116671667176, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "100119", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34682471.724164, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9294728225592838, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 258128359.61801517, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8654955954225187, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 245338681.2384877, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.370119703015235, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "950890", "hs_description": "Roundabouts, swings, shooting galleries, other fairground amusements: travelling theatres", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18733071.021776423, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.1924078327531396, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "390110", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 115164591.48213746, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.319396258393349, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0497043906607186, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "hs_code": "480421", "hs_description": "Kraft paper and paperboard: sack kraft paper, uncoated, unbleached, in rolls or sheets, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23038947.71074687, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.46220076048915, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8621204777816924, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "GTM", "distance_km": 3393, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668, "importer_population": 17109.747, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-GTM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-GTM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-GTM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-GTM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-GTM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }