{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.261Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Canada exports to the United Kingdom: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Canada to the United Kingdom, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "CAN",
    "country_name": "Canada"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GBR",
    "country_name": "United Kingdom"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
    "importer_iso3": "GBR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1222,
    "current_lane_count": 1064,
    "current_product_count": 1064,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 22061455745.76815,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2100599976.6352124,
    "critical_trade_usd": 1230345585.374437,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2128035335.6339629,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2149799845.0495152,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 77350512.03708167,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2603696421.2284904,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 8,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 110,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 546,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 683,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 19,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 287,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9226999840955794,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.520932366639205,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6026.963949363017,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 77.50121142693888,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 82.30025946651564,
    "top_product_hs6": "710812",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 17097895461.388329,
    "top_product_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "284410",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 5715.74658203125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.8549883961677551,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 47334,
    "buyer_population_latest": 67326.569,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 9.521583710712978,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 5.576901178021505,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3186859.739185,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 47334,
    "buyer_population_2024": 67326.569
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 3120496557.464081,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 4798622838.272485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.77753988525977,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 3192815055.617391,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.46392989771182,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 3443902246.989741,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.864132027647219,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.341724062813345
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 5133144855.126034,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.050248438753805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.271737547956021
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 4905827816.615736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.428416593061768,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.393012904639392
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 4404355558.288914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.221970217306986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.545173876777778
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 3933656728.5240808,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.687121499057605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.489489214800983
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 5237512221.75451,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.14614322535561,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2047113473803837
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 6990112821.963012,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.46246320779753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.64530719688031
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 7577401742.715382,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.401708752212155,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.425086603024138
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 9817919879.328064,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.568422167488073,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.300492531516646
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 12509273427.59259,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.412665629215983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.408557745305636
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 13233301234.79255,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.787928542699516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.424807760447393
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 11372687849.265522,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.060084876139333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.02222422461398
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 17004282236.853035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.51858753382752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.775080196171483
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 19174102771.638504,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.760435898216627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.157223834990205
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 18511952067.77883,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.453359522194155,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.633142569255988
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 13952014628.474178,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.632396532840527,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.381961088178145
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 13805743716.116985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.048385600590429,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.371061686387362
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 12168662403.487946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.857972640169267,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.051210161720505
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 12799940832.935219,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.187738869855796,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.831906934560957
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 13873013404.596712,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.383418217843609,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.1621564800099229
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 12880033518.166363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.157636610524243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9118573886928614
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 15131016099.179647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.47652735405103,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.735310200505572
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 14627205037.934362,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3296578229970897,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7802502680086318
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 13404302981.847052,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.360462938174607,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3387977182844235
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 16848752762.784304,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.696597470244754,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.649343272553729
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 12555794195.441038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.479384900380264,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.962658375582407
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 22163976965.178173,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.5238950255001,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.25000055597212
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "710812",
      "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 72212652498.59854,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9143439290602338,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29999359070.508434,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.57095819250249,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8034396730981788,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "284410",
      "hs_description": "Uranium: natural uranium and its compounds, alloys, dispersions (including cermets), ceramic products and mixtures containing natural uranium or natural uranium compounds",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1043003658.6343349,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 72.39827373964602,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.146838472093233,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "880240",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 8815509251.2321,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.18737250249892,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1359093158516647,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13688188734.293102,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.870996808362246,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8827583105088719,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "100199",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 744536425.3422315,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.534234291289664,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4731158290343488,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "440131",
      "hs_description": "Wood: for fuel, sawdust and wood waste and scrap, agglomerated in wood pellets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1869102292.3410063,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.349982115437406,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.054225527837571,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "330499",
      "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2163274533.3817034,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.21844007052672,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8443983591597684,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 569031217.3726126,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.689131394408108,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6971335054699757,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "841182",
      "hs_description": "Turbines: gas-turbines (excluding turbo-jets and turbo-propellers), of a power exceeding 5000kW",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 236157256.07892254,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 8.921033129600076,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.43936105832607364,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
    "importer_iso3": "GBR",
    "distance_km": 5728,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716,
    "importer_population": 67326.569,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-GBR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-GBR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-GBR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-GBR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-GBR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}