{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.765Z", "seo": { "title": "Canada exports to Ecuador: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Canada to Ecuador, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CAN", "country_name": "Canada" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ECU", "country_name": "Ecuador" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "all_history_lane_count": 169, "current_lane_count": 123, "current_product_count": 123, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 407559799.75962013, "attention_trade_usd": 383666019.20454997, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 271682026.01647675, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 117258427.39969204, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 391927878.1167375, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 11, "high_volatility_lane_count": 80, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 88, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 62, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3892706901090053, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 36.560782961209306, "product_concentration_hhi": 2604.2208856310135, "top1_product_share_pct": 41.7916846285129, "top3_product_share_pct": 79.82131149877702, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 170326106.1881391, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 4884.96435546875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.029400000348687172, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 48.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 106165.866, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5935, "buyer_population_latest": 17888.474, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.990587628199348, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.0708328763464845, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.9010945888597854, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.951999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 25.912, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.13735589987952, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 106165.866, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5935, "buyer_population_2024": 17888.474 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 59767206.992641255, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 50660240.166128546, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.237397370156502, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 58474130.85604294, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.424109053353362, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 119162651.868851, "yoy_growth_pct": 103.78695694035494, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.86135398660918 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 58033290.835648425, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.299094199817596, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.633314950157019 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 65828172.98885198, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.431742437765305, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.027782779911759 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 85854267.76494828, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.42176907976426, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.352005940775754 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 80580764.42586066, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.142389279383775, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.562454724171545 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 105280729.4529775, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.652433248932944, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.944291712358606 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 129021368.51178104, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.549842865029767, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.542480852562377 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 123911727.65280037, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.9603058918989076, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.423350390621081 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 129423143.68227349, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.447856658827387, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.124223376609651 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 210667539.68498677, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.774240905601616, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.75481100207672 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 202706334.15656942, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.77903759654753, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.828849134315018 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 209853157.49542007, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.5257030169222325, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.481059486437257 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 249707979.00037163, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.9917664240155, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.830682966400946 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 283934966.8151997, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.706805826487866, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.88808820653966 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 272316415.99690026, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.091976042479262, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.073547462581955 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 294011977.9139257, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.9670415158785035, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.595205894821631 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 284788273.04566216, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1371867682764454, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.10007606720172646 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 279392200.34723926, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8947664665804997, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8587276399513621 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 194182270.66066918, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.49832084813675, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.914031953092753 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 243277585.72889078, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.28310895798256, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.115924211999601 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 258873139.2007043, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.410600230632535, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5105611184204624 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 312964734.5175722, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.895020427334, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.245255123126046 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 304347830.68987113, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7533146317535895, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.751346120616698 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 475842737.0359558, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.348325518652075, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.49700906045138 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 547677901.651371, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.096408755312618, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.506351629467765 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 552487299.175949, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.8781434324950155, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.988070680826553 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 445210396.3608046, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.41708035191958, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.19359771053087 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3425572526.5864515, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.533100930798618, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8295997814517864, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "100199", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 288535232.0081384, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.2045423934304, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7930131008820227, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "100119", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 84528586.24856578, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.787309633228535, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.731759243787739, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "310420", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61356631.50115772, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.53131389117195, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.041110848338201, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "071340", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: lentils, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24292214.775593176, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.741838632341208, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5937995205203906, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "850220", "hs_description": "Electric generating sets: with spark-ignition internal combustion piston engines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43868932.11951369, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4598395419630534, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86811233.85714279, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.62679308176237, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9990163896967603, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "850440", "hs_description": "Electrical static converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 82304529.86511932, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2703868006646415, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "480511", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: uncoated, semi-chemical fluting paper, rolls or sheets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10209406.680147925, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.78882112147801, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9916736234034907, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "480525", "hs_description": "Paper & paperboard: uncoated, testliner (recycled linerboard), weight over 150g/m2, in rolls or sheets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13499719.127457896, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.67123358989467, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6787627523827657, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "distance_km": 5080, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835, "importer_population": 17888.474, "importer_biz_entry_days": 48.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 33, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-ECU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-ECU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-ECU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-ECU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-ECU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }