{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.701Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Canada exports to Bulgaria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Canada to Bulgaria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "CAN",
    "country_name": "Canada"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BGR",
    "country_name": "Bulgaria"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
    "importer_iso3": "BGR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 166,
    "current_lane_count": 91,
    "current_product_count": 91,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 215629441.05049828,
    "attention_trade_usd": 153708817.11440477,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 55412631.72428183,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 26178815.523111142,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 155632917.7575588,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 6,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 77,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 34,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 22,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.203733351039945,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.390015551383662,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2900.80972440837,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 50.480975763644054,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 72.92151945397856,
    "top_product_hs6": "880240",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 108851845.87598318,
    "top_product_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "880240",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 7729.7734375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.22341616451740265,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.100112106666666,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.100112106666666,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 80271.119426,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 11635,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6899.125,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.593931268104285,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.189451881330982,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5355909244541324,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.716,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.028,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 71.28378034352355,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 80271.119426,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 11635,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6899.125
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 6931195.886679992,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 9290459.784079563,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.03833820269717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 7631865.539501774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.852660504704087,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 6738366.150073009,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.707483377479623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9360871808710036
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 9829036.562544573,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.86676270831733,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.896182651346412
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 8291484.315617832,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.642959888722752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8017539525321933
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 16235145.656334091,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 95.80505779590736,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.060405213415955
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 16203741.87646421,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.1934308477092639,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.132153735728807
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 14527924.052637449,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.342165634351852,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.556443016156734
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 37722725.36173632,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 159.65668064521586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.44908349925277
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 47551700.3988335,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.055845495901274,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.16941323481125
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 55911232.21481761,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.579879890455373,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.71064602367733
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 40963142.7100263,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.735396292750213,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7850777928942527
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 72283746.1427935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.46045044561743,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.980678437155404
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 65012504.65407045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.059303614894311,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.155649796530759
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 81049514.30499312,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.667577008846386,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.541038254296677
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 125842198.0420973,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.26582623129266,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.298962296306343
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 114479310.53852437,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.029473165886504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.75636620281238
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 50045927.4797812,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.283867150877164,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.84579307664281
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 66992127.847309366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.86129745397268,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.953830723278088
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 52408816.94283722,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.768693386946747,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.92874155596971
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 189017578.63333064,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 260.65988446084145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.73198444908758
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 191056317.62753013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.078597561634398,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.811856831949434
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 130611976.36264442,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.636923612609202,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.579142132780795
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 136002100.34756407,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.126822160591126,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.39178903837692
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 171070254.2507846,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.78500906500789,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.616128698900256
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 141276086.97211334,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.41633424767919,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6506929517798428
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 99652956.46115363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.46226173377505,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.846721655558554
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 150004423.40806606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.5268170006981,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.285767396843621
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 229648972.8697431,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.094800574657185,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.57959230034929
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "880240",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141081920.0647607,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8990293550382003,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "740100",
      "hs_description": "Copper mattes: cement copper (precipitated copper)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24411538.585903063,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.789232316037978,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3408511330498832,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1349572571.2349443,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.6183190656022823,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "260300",
      "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2228787425.0549655,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.50038357589551,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6015440024471714,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "120510",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: low erucic acid rape or colza seeds, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25835332.734475993,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4141668086003067,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "120590",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: rape or colza seeds, other than low erucic, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49449799.54046258,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 215751316.22135818,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1177318634540419,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "030616",
      "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, cold-water shrimps and prawns (Pandalus spp., Crangon crangon), in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11397954.4100422,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 54.494918986271465,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.930575153663144,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 377164952.83376306,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.35136529219004,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.735355579821486,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "870324",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 207545682.652821,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.71964899588738,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.54536962992813,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "CAN",
    "importer_iso3": "BGR",
    "distance_km": 7741,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831,
    "importer_population": 6899.125,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.100112106666666,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.100112106666666,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-BGR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-BGR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-BGR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-BGR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-BGR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}