{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.483Z", "seo": { "title": "Canada exports to Aruba: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Canada to Aruba, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "CAN", "country_name": "Canada" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ABW", "country_name": "Aruba" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "all_history_lane_count": 9, "current_lane_count": 5, "current_product_count": 5, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 943969.6190318782, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 532669.0748299182, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 103195.44959930539, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 411300.54420196, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2174902304446034, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 32.80921440246801, "product_concentration_hhi": 4096.073031168956, "top1_product_share_pct": 51.056471518526514, "top3_product_share_pct": 94.44008012590828, "top_product_hs6": "870323", "top_product_trade_usd": 481957.5796845541, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 3573.88720703125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.3714675009250641, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2496.648045, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23384, "buyer_population_latest": 107.195, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.972537159276413, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.206331749368065, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.22222482830084322, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2496.648045, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23384, "buyer_population_2024": 107.195 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 1491908.1742915083, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 2646194.9988221517, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.3698304239671, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 3542420.192415921, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.86844862123495, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 4928769.399329934, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.13565109757706, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.93569692568667 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 6175355.833457246, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.292042153499516, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.64169032325108 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 9495480.601031806, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.764104565223114, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.9117423691701 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 8708891.587016553, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.283825190794246, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.894941174101934 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 11536251.562984582, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.465210385476986, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.15940350359198 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 6679779.826303016, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.097484700005374, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.06315226287824 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 5725505.312733239, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.286017479380453, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.047185090400804 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 26850062.994502556, "yoy_growth_pct": 368.9553415449525, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.523693194049265 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 6402007.443331879, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.15645279997048, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4058057102325328 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 9497334.850063479, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.34932533475249, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.37572251648789 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 10216024.95781293, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.567281970106032, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.537683750413333 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 7717165.4865889335, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.460193485656458, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.4258709248482315 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 6287901.092542562, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.520587598259752, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.843191856034997 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 11629753.546844846, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.95446056932592, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.414991003175017 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 6823283.995341461, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.329074878008754, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.020486386636291 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 8334981.724693542, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.154987691911685, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.849895995123825 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 5889519.654803781, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.339741233561924, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.291778066656498 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 2673387.812130613, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.60771049553988, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.826105138259702 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 2663763.3415400973, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.36001026663038393, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.630301931306903 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 5705898.809346316, "yoy_growth_pct": 114.20441975327131, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.05024345955258 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 5589463.87150191, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.04060642739905, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.8702153315741 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "export_value_usd": 5467673.0372495195, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.178935888168898, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.087342817666826 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25503142.88631604, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.89112759901905, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5132956000414892, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30160292.55989738, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.925490440561376, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.837131626802411, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10108181.064372325, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.33089594808239, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5096974459110015, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "hs_code": "190590", "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10035903.858587647, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.12089980767438, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7128274132440159, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16853635.153975047, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.207512530437825, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9463298983241111, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "CAN", "importer_iso3": "ABW", "distance_km": 3571, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2496.648045, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23290.713606045058, "importer_population": 107.195, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-ABW/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-ABW/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-ABW/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-ABW/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/CAN-ABW/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }