{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.667Z", "seo": { "title": "Botswana exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Botswana to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BWA", "country_name": "Botswana" }, "importer": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "all_history_lane_count": 18, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 281745623.6708074, "attention_trade_usd": 34733565.07931173, "critical_trade_usd": 34733565.07931173, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 34733565.07931173, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 34733565.07931173, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 281745623.6708074, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 2, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0029182638012604, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 33.9523992117129, "product_concentration_hhi": 7838.3610616885435, "top1_product_share_pct": 87.67201256694779, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "710239", "top_product_trade_usd": 247012058.5914957, "top_product_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, (other than unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted), but not mounted or set", "top_attention_product_hs6": "710231", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 12583.9697265625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288, "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 12.327987433052217, "critical_trade_share_pct": 12.327987433052217, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288, "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 37351899.00210932, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 19725964.678465765, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.188857312577845, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 22859244.875844084, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.88404039270548, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 10063620.290206129, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.975709850150835, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.41269175690602 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 38409416.04651973, "yoy_growth_pct": 281.66599035835645, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.872407381133478 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 76888181.10666627, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.18055211655086, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.83015739698467 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 146251655.04211587, "yoy_growth_pct": 90.21344104788002, "cagr_3y_pct": 144.03316306728883 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 93603409.64717424, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.998392893250056, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.5709509781011 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 114563651.18409663, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.392604730884557, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.216562766407147 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 85687770.18167228, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.205098392004476, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.323016195099814 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 103257053.07418483, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.503839527230983, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.325937032853843 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 144085262.59553576, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.540359041641416, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.942110536545921 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 126621961.0307801, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.120116415914916, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.90166290302426 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 176321920.10167256, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.25066289157459, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.525947042078016 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 261581730.9902046, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.354629327634726, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.991418802835017 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 185738264.1393161, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.994175764410922, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.622441140920106 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 333110084.6859953, "yoy_growth_pct": 79.34381277308613, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.621447577611132 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 446329401.5217344, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.98855875001947, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.494897865880347 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 334958146.52831745, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.952704126975068, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.720311218373723 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 185378741.63676456, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.65614777304944, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.745932542617403 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 135189580.82200056, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.073849121872783, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.84228543376766 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 221571136.95837173, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.89660772016652, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.868695974827283 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 347618080.365783, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.887799168125696, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.31449887530015 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 360586460.85170543, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7306403833415214, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.68262864406298 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 284628833.625053, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.065024750857386, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.70643055273812 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "710239", "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, (other than unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted), but not mounted or set", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12802267191.06902, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.114521221220482, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9855110825471619, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "710231", "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted, but not mounted or set", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 132599118.23027532, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.69244124309293, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1267115935683578, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "distance_km": 12558, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "importer_population": 331893.738, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17613.846473, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7347.552382323007, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-USA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-USA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-USA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-USA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-USA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }