{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.992Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Botswana exports to Portugal: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Botswana to Portugal, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BWA",
    "country_name": "Botswana"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PRT",
    "country_name": "Portugal"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
    "importer_iso3": "PRT",
    "all_history_lane_count": 6,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2011,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 756886.5018694906,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 15286.628345500943,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 15286.628345500943,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 277918.06208659,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 756886.5018694906,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 4,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.41417340519994106,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 1.387321969538292,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4439.1895920351635,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 61.26173611130826,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 97.98032752496663,
    "top_product_hs6": "020230",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 463681.8114373996,
    "top_product_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 7953.29345703125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 249886.464355,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 24262,
    "buyer_population_latest": 10299.423,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.462941650481978,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.644844908749368,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7817840835313117,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.083999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.34,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 249886.464355,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 24262,
    "buyer_population_2024": 10299.423
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 11982936.762597568,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 9544686.115888383,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.347688509211824,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 20189898.76082458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 111.53025375256544,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 23870206.534700435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.22846076383964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.824236300921612
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 8918597.791713763,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.637115105189054,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.2361470161635477
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 6385134.214574406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.406523495130465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.868916379753298
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3491616.55728124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.316473547080015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -47.310575399623524
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1760934.134094314,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.56679505880589,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.76972455831658
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 567171.1896819848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.7914591635937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -55.38152623954722
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 164691.5974848762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.96262989359184,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -63.86886265314213
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 75291.97183914717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.28305208706151,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -65.03218307468137
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 341428.28686819196,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 353.4723670109412,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.56384555048409
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1823.4528883802247,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.46593385536208,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -77.71183222144168
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 30.88971195151918,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.3059769655492,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -92.56943685582674
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3457.2829610545814,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11092.344449442333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -78.36558569684489
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 2990.4727528202916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.502227428092773,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.927502456254828
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1543.3859765523173,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.38990005520826,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 268.3156989510433
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 34047.77465211971,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2106.0440595797763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 114.34725953730114
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 6771.73074202416,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.11109151416281,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.31669501696188
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3783.703441180607,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.12501640533911,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.83858303135763
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 39054.097078509956,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 932.1659106117506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.67893364360592
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 6452.479970271089,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.47809717044603,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5968514377867615
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 130401.69795677559,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1920.9547113293404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 225.42835093127925
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 57982.24233979241,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.535669206537584,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.07998842137168
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 829743.4773773403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1331.0303360032333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 404.7454282611551
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "020230",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 144628472.03606558,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6301300866941738,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "080521",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: mandarins (including tangerines and satsumas), fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24781218.189450663,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "080510",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: oranges, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56334177.27063595,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "392340",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: spools, cops, bobbins and similar supports, for the conveyance or packing of goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14080793.236483153,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 68.69044296478707,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3935316086799392,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
    "importer_iso3": "PRT",
    "distance_km": 7909,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518,
    "importer_population": 10299.423,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17613.846473,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7347.552382323007,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-PRT/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-PRT/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-PRT/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-PRT/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-PRT/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}