{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.657Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Botswana exports to Namibia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Botswana to Namibia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BWA",
    "country_name": "Botswana"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NAM",
    "country_name": "Namibia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
    "importer_iso3": "NAM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 26,
    "current_lane_count": 23,
    "current_product_count": 23,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2009,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 49759628.5425196,
    "attention_trade_usd": 46475700.50934433,
    "critical_trade_usd": 41589631.27728542,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4092274.232419725,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 47551893.375380784,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 49671548.602444366,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 49759628.5425196,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 18,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 14,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 22,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9756774148491454,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 87.53402875715832,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 7054.134042011832,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 83.58107263953364,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 93.40041690550574,
    "top_product_hs6": "710231",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 41589631.27728542,
    "top_product_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted, but not mounted or set",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "710231",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 930.8639526367188,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 54,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12236.250784,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4729,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2587.344,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2904996761134768,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.3852682406449879,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.713355164102671,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.18,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 9.026,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 93.40041690550574,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 83.58107263953364,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 12236.250784,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4729,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2587.344
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 4052487.3970420547,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 2023421.222111424,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.06964799968689,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 1707617.3612830085,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.607420609084876,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 2864089.473724762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.724312171015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.92517671798625
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 4625724.559350301,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.507683394210574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.733982931590866
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 10198306.490558408,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 120.46938505977099,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 81.43141988094985
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 10053554.598732498,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.419371853159368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.976936731639675
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 8299596.293590252,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.446150890386324,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.513836549278963
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 47553556.446355514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 472.96228351589764,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.06480994001826
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 19721080.119283058,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.52869565806267,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.180597132767346
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 17627736.692658313,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.614750378595627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.54243687707929
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 30437290.585254278,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 72.66703670432604,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.81976725492734
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 129902811.0208227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 326.78835245524687,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 87.4545345507282
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 718637464.3137972,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 453.21163465708497,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 244.1684847823095
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 642331518.057371,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.6181419763981,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 176.34466245632518
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 517120833.59179705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.493155939825847,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.48609395569253
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 735500334.5604118,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.22987874068102,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7761292710670054
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 282089691.85564667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.64655832220065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.98907902817046
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 235719805.1904831,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.43799401535465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.03947655385007
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 173644030.55732533,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.334560468092562,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.19470821093422
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 60435432.174673475,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.1957905027309,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.163230500405675
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 180862639.57207152,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 199.26589926474486,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.451563756971014
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 219963669.44577768,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.619185679375686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.200773641784242
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 42654691.69219301,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.60830145284169,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.965486146199332
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 69473078.1483715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.87323947786734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.307563524526625
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "710231",
      "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted, but not mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76397434.77050507,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.05180485633592,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9102225686245791,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "854420",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: co-axial cable and other co-axial electric conductors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13009464.19188621,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.16497576310588,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9902262810643737,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "870899",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32125839.848381072,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.02907188225847,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0514139738391715,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37064098.527154714,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.33759104648124,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4407157080035362,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "320990",
      "hs_description": "Paints and varnishes: (based on polymers other than acrylic or vinyl), dispersed or dissolved in an aqueous medium",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10148152.536285516,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.768158946453447,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.309927651160237,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "730890",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20704629.27878097,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 91.16604474040497,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.435005826910041,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86070986.31213021,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.17301720619663,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.65123267035786,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "401110",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20152458.10178054,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.46255669458161,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.550024800116658,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "870120",
      "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55444463.5784707,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.499810478404342,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9138494102184648,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "230990",
      "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35022056.588906266,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.66981282528405,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2189869756628995,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BWA",
    "importer_iso3": "NAM",
    "distance_km": 930,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12236.250784,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4729.270937300954,
    "importer_population": 2587.344,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 54,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17613.846473,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7347.552382323007,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-NAM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-NAM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-NAM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-NAM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-NAM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}