{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.316Z", "seo": { "title": "Botswana exports to China: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Botswana to China, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BWA", "country_name": "Botswana" }, "importer": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "all_history_lane_count": 11, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2008, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 497955750.5585236, "attention_trade_usd": 497693257.8269538, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 497693257.8269538, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 262492.7315697711, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 262492.7315697711, "access_friction_trade_usd": 497955750.5585236, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 2, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4247334701187375, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0.05255848109335444, "product_concentration_hhi": 9989.462744001683, "top1_product_share_pct": 99.94728593227904, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "260300", "top_product_trade_usd": 497693257.8269538, "top_product_description": "Copper ores and concentrates", "top_attention_product_hs6": "260300", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 11792.978515625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12556, "buyer_population_latest": 1412359.985, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.1812362915018895, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.16286575688667, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.01746865158438471, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 44.900000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 46.43, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.94728593227904, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12556, "buyer_population_2024": 1412359.985 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 8035.459140684418, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1401.7411604516694, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.55555611807546, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 62374.4101763357, "yoy_growth_pct": 4349.780882244865, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1241361.881129282, "yoy_growth_pct": 1890.178147769073, "cagr_3y_pct": 436.5735196218888 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1411817.3539520192, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.731328101332686, "cagr_3y_pct": 902.3903951356343 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 2330125.525767778, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.04440317617512, "cagr_3y_pct": 234.29069528777293 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 7852228.697710504, "yoy_growth_pct": 236.98736874371556, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.9402803311458 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 36710004.349954106, "yoy_growth_pct": 367.51063631982277, "cagr_3y_pct": 196.25701317380876 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 152567729.53955022, "yoy_growth_pct": 315.60259183064073, "cagr_3y_pct": 303.0520384317192 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 55179532.15054345, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.83276311637106, "cagr_3y_pct": 91.54097390648808 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 50425506.879024245, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.61555922320807, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.161725337554863 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 92550349.41126272, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.53875873434475, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.347758973392489 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 103979175.01128115, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.348765480325262, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.51587646898747 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 172333215.7393027, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.73820259740042, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.62818388358112 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 173568363.1939118, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7167204820674566, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.31923872628179 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 121754766.01753153, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.851982367601025, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.401437594099789 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 66784306.10786809, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.14850769927825, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.09312637529887 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 40651517.86397802, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.130133659966674, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.35913383314815 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 13482247.423788607, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.83457806200282, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.9796367613512 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 16559265.171841757, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.82273608644756, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.17648752066596 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 57399250.98157944, "yoy_growth_pct": 246.62921564408626, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.187159733266672 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 118558599.47684515, "yoy_growth_pct": 106.55077801432107, "cagr_3y_pct": 106.40660431535322 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 353100156.19451934, "yoy_growth_pct": 197.82753655375362, "cagr_3y_pct": 177.30154096905926 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 418620750.6782264, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.555810110605677, "cagr_3y_pct": 93.92695381024234 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 507219094.98200256, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.164346048358553, "cagr_3y_pct": 62.33824433033555 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "260300", "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62556768519.77541, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4249942529540296, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "710231", "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted, but not mounted or set", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 157690425.3937189, "current_below_peak_pct": 99.70484799538445, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9302822214854723, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "distance_km": 11888, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "importer_population": 1412359.985, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17613.846473, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7347.552382323007, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-CHN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-CHN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-CHN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-CHN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-CHN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }