{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.678Z", "seo": { "title": "Botswana exports to Australia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Botswana to Australia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BWA", "country_name": "Botswana" }, "importer": { "iso3": "AUS", "country_name": "Australia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "all_history_lane_count": 15, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 24925099.56408965, "attention_trade_usd": 24484300.543253735, "critical_trade_usd": 24484300.543253735, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 24896055.20886603, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 24925099.56408965, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 24925099.56408965, "access_friction_trade_usd": 24925099.56408965, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 3, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.541967162690364, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 74.72514880375451, "product_concentration_hhi": 9652.1712447909, "top1_product_share_pct": 98.23150547622691, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "260300", "top_product_trade_usd": 24484300.543253735, "top_product_description": "Copper ores and concentrates", "top_attention_product_hs6": "260300", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 11312.1484375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1542659.899993, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 59934, "buyer_population_latest": 25739.256, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.672430715538289, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.1982410002894257, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4285027544653106, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.404000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 25.023999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.23150547622691, "critical_trade_share_pct": 98.23150547622691, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1542659.899993, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 59934, "buyer_population_2024": 25739.256 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 40518.88057461646, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 60581.9145928506, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.51527222300132, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 91725.77296829423, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.407847679873406, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 395890.27686324157, "yoy_growth_pct": 331.6020067774019, "cagr_3y_pct": 113.7826546760337 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 351025.8262462182, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.332546727971703, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.61062549199691 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 480096.46860721876, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.769557311850676, "cagr_3y_pct": 73.62504731224715 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 379434.5905940361, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.96701071457727, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4051959488234012 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 333090.6662435252, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.2139429296511, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.732977373548028 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 374893.6554931569, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.550033215001344, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.914088116144358 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 279318.14801470307, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.494031728205236, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.707001014587558 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 467073.43357474386, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.21915023944578, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.92855599989786 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 1564420.521359491, "yoy_growth_pct": 234.94101974205796, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.99601922354778 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 276074.88498595793, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.35289800813612, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.38855304794309653 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 3982344.1418800666, "yoy_growth_pct": 1342.4869332400958, "cagr_3y_pct": 104.29192806991784 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 84758.50290646337, "yoy_growth_pct": -97.87164293474524, "cagr_3y_pct": -62.16068571252361 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 755804.2687984463, "yoy_growth_pct": 791.7149818379006, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.89240832607168 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 635727.0373996107, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.887344958997197, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.75280356452246 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 4605701.0337306475, "yoy_growth_pct": 624.4777652638292, "cagr_3y_pct": 278.7658557228459 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 602285.0952539407, "yoy_growth_pct": -86.92305273740085, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.289072663081708 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 393986.7359035043, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.58467775341706, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.741640309030025 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 1044107.7735659907, "yoy_growth_pct": 165.01089463623845, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.02527337290174 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 3691790.7075885553, "yoy_growth_pct": 253.58329868379465, "cagr_3y_pct": 83.0114739722576 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 4853288.372566809, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.46163358044025, "cagr_3y_pct": 130.95010569569055 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 99106795.07713725, "yoy_growth_pct": 1942.0545302302244, "cagr_3y_pct": 356.16227682511914 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "export_value_usd": 25019624.56848315, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.75488481994623, "cagr_3y_pct": 89.24071144260827 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "260300", "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 85958174.20060316, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.94840463262767, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.548536955696479, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "710239", "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, (other than unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted), but not mounted or set", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 209998019.985922, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.168693606450034, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.21429995999355, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "901780", "hs_description": "Mathematical instruments and equipment: n.e.s. in heading no. 9017", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22952916.42321994, "current_below_peak_pct": 78.70770801705747, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6489093967168686, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BWA", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "distance_km": 10620, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1542659.8999929999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 59934.12940890754, "importer_population": 25739.256, "importer_biz_entry_days": 2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 17613.846473, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7347.552382323007, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-AUS/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-AUS/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-AUS/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-AUS/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BWA-AUS/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }