{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.349Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Brunei exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Brunei to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BRN",
    "country_name": "Brunei"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "USA",
    "country_name": "United States"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
    "importer_iso3": "USA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 53,
    "current_lane_count": 14,
    "current_product_count": 14,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 178844875.92113656,
    "attention_trade_usd": 175834673.0185532,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 41775927.39366926,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2843915.706468026,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 5080245.085446122,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 178844875.92113656,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 8,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 14,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9273389000673795,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 12.242042142573746,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5462.058739677339,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 70.8062570363553,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 96.12144919021678,
    "top_product_hs6": "290243",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 126633362.54107065,
    "top_product_description": "Cyclic hydrocarbons: p-xylene",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "290243",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
    "distance_km": 14867.6357421875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.3668326139450073,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696969,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696969,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288,
    "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.31686376974493,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288,
    "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 69063755.05174609,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 93225917.27006024,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.985300466519135,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 56256428.239365935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.65580614626697,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 211933284.20108765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 276.7272307074509,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.31696767035138
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 258010174.71965498,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.741224221698197,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.39987546059485
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 338757419.0177849,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.29614728793819,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 81.93051689938278
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 364579302.4892004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.622529285494362,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.82045024167507
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 314756912.8421435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.665720820378379,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.8512190682820995
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 406206478.16803,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.05402918720017,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.239498013929468
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 418209213.8318378,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.95483610156575,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.680839220673727
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 442212296.6018934,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.739491617156789,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.00012634557126
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 540983531.2301899,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.33570513241887,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.021881189925663
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 396916533.4625308,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.630569962093396,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7267774318956652
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 96485722.86671942,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.69118070617542,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.798023942073755
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 43524477.19932453,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.89024084998868,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -56.82988824269866
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 13433864.583509203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -69.1349202840794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -67.65300618495681
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 20111793.9749982,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.70966731112145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.70802472300241
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 86550440.83519553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 330.3466957885008,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.751133095243727
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 11848554.732106227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -86.31023179342601,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.099367625589112
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 22088372.236541443,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.42250245667694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1741660073856925
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 21244547.005419064,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.820223699990044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.38773755517871
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 12525615.074395249,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.04079945220667,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8695905870596663
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 25263189.459541105,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 101.69220680574713,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.578278590426099
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 76259397.6055699,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 201.8597383663651,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.11413965337914
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 41091180.508138806,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.11656818918072,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.58781133280878
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 83690971.94596536,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 103.671374029736,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.072251498972655
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 16376969.175189298,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.43161789808941,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.115643503761945
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 111766526.06793147,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 582.4616012421577,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.59002274983714
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 159353914.58215904,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.57749631164527,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.94472312276317
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 200348201.77741644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.725309166548094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 130.41847911825556
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "290243",
      "hs_description": "Cyclic hydrocarbons: p-xylene",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1317364419.9457824,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.42374344158592003,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33676675741.516453,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.05228431375026,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.7492356858837974,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "310210",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1979253933.8968775,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.31278822839425,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3013444495122965,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "730629",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel (excluding cast iron): casing and tubing of a kind used in drilling for oil and gas (other than stainless steel or seamless), n.e.c. in chapter 73",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 926185474.4257684,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.33958220650773,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2334829643327014,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "720836",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness exceeding 10mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92393425.65439667,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "880310",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: propellers and rotors and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 754922874.4047241,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.75900551901529,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "853810",
      "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: parts (e.g. boards, panels, consoles, desks, cabinets, other bases), for goods of heading no. 8537, not equipped with their apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 585838334.1495342,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.010707420203956,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "381239",
      "hs_description": "Anti-oxidising preparations and other compound stabilisers: for rubber or plastics, other than mixtures of oligomers of 2,2,4-trimethyl-1,2-dihydroquinoline (TMQ)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 327181635.07918096,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.7601262784648535,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4350017320063809,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "890710",
      "hs_description": "Rafts: inflatable",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78866085.85557958,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5929732930577454,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "610432",
      "hs_description": "Jackets: women's or girls', of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 103329138.0624289,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.15904176459983,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2955027252280833,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BRN",
    "importer_iso3": "USA",
    "distance_km": 14867,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179,
    "importer_population": 331893.738,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 14006.569575999998,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 31722.66013788355,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696969,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696969,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRN-USA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRN-USA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRN-USA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRN-USA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRN-USA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}