{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.981Z", "seo": { "title": "Brunei exports to Germany: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Brunei to Germany, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BRN", "country_name": "Brunei" }, "importer": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "all_history_lane_count": 14, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 873789.3144152144, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 734019.9013887966, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 139769.41302641778, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 873789.3144152144, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 2, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5405819990763707, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.56662469362454, "product_concentration_hhi": 7312.574008090075, "top1_product_share_pct": 84.004220385785, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "880390", "top_product_trade_usd": 734019.9013887966, "top_product_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts thereof n.e.c. in chapter 88", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 10811.9912109375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.2134297490119934, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8965754287839507, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6483195994040658, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.229944083311983, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802, "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 50802, "buyer_population_2024": 83129.288 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 4908580.359274352, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3890816.213643655, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.73438899105964, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 5268773.069697472, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.415624393201384, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 5019615.53652054, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.72894789509769, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7484058935629756 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 495617.1342795511, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.12639253596902, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.68449162131164 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3145082.528666333, "yoy_growth_pct": 534.5790553101338, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.80088679230698 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2543212.1743075172, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.136869982678572, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.279371667953082 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2054776.9504094545, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.205445335329017, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.64706336702545 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3174455.3098491733, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.49147943851527, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3103449303995198 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2122282.266136126, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.144994684553886, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.852920948770812 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1926838.8116224257, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.209116884792579, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.120088785339358 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1870314.347101573, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.9335336292742764, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.16697655688887 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2707686.5126302, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.77173405776966, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.458870878857304 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2804158.3180200113, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.5628868016962745, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.323256996896582 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3328295.5274222703, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.691427157805673, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.181342275629888 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1480081.9080040536, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.53033389584965, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.2359385209907 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 4250425.382042397, "yoy_growth_pct": 187.17501099478042, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.870881984555995 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 6387143.3224041965, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.270684656392504, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.268653716687894 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2493289.3583085476, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.96393594985052, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.985939602686862 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 6208259.774744022, "yoy_growth_pct": 148.99876759413587, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.460796552998167 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2953455.5362997875, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.42699816920009, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.67120218500589 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1524692.3958297381, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.37598273986761, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.120427483253485 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1727126.2098178351, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.277026536092373, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.7193107329553 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1881671.5301770333, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.948119684634893, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.952592058545399 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1567668.870088979, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.687432160835858, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9308738552984197 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1620472.6701933357, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.368300609385688, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1022872145339044 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1154821.2339654984, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.735531600929832, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.018645507171813 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3562452.987286335, "yoy_growth_pct": 208.485234121766, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.47149530265432 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 4095757.1145461835, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.97013796850377, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.21684835453958 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2060002.2685597416, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.70399340225542, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.278638442290564 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "880390", "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts thereof n.e.c. in chapter 88", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 541013471.9254218, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.727504095554981, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "290519", "hs_description": "Alcohols: saturated monohydric, n.e.s. in item no. 2905.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 72821903.23176934, "current_below_peak_pct": 66.058828944069, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5589327536961697, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "distance_km": 10351, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 14006.569575999998, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 31722.66013788355, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8965754287839507, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6483195994040658, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.229944083311983 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRN-DEU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRN-DEU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRN-DEU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRN-DEU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRN-DEU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }