{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.597Z", "seo": { "title": "Brazil exports to Saudi Arabia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Brazil to Saudi Arabia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BRA", "country_name": "Brazil" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "all_history_lane_count": 455, "current_lane_count": 235, "current_product_count": 235, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3385941635.231643, "attention_trade_usd": 3214387085.3559265, "critical_trade_usd": 578933565.0631417, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 528830792.66906667, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 635223169.7664661, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2903169485.710466, "access_friction_trade_usd": 3385941635.231643, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 7, "high_attention_lane_count": 56, "high_volatility_lane_count": 131, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 97, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 94, "access_friction_lane_count": 235, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9596722318022224, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.236150110650936, "product_concentration_hhi": 1392.1164525057081, "top1_product_share_pct": 29.437645794168127, "top3_product_share_pct": 56.2184136053499, "top_product_hs6": "170114", "top_product_trade_usd": 996741505.3767552, "top_product_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, other than as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "top_attention_product_hs6": "170114", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 11404.5107421875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23586, "buyer_population_latest": 35340.679, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.8811275779533165, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.503293336407065, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2635041192047964, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.332, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 43.605999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.9333282035743, "critical_trade_share_pct": 17.098155474364372, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23586, "buyer_population_2024": 35340.679 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 367451649.3021582, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 408614140.06471056, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.202151586671526, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 396155317.6113829, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.0490433961376406, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 399800779.45947564, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9202102524012545, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8524114453497784 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 408014904.2442466, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.054554469822789, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.048907508622431095 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 523321616.28511256, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.260416676308676, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.72385597115113 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 631964414.0650446, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.76023508280653, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.488484659156978 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 599001429.8968791, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.215955746010225, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.653795540518576 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 726239039.920396, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.241620415734474, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.541626326075093 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 851986462.078327, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.314880534612165, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.470594209892937 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1228344439.2615027, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.17417340940983, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.046908521017254 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1623883361.1767063, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.200977940113184, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.765068873759184 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1619742508.6162097, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.25499692031427657, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.880921910968844 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2753230787.0130606, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.97953516483437, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.8702155480201 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2082150423.5354095, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.374286625121478, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.638999300857675 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2904396849.708695, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.49025089057414, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.488916553508997 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3511197870.7478848, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.892496874180623, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.44367557472907 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3217326025.6961603, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.369560926770836, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.609713115740774 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3039923101.1285615, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.513986557492656, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5318299113082023 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2682451063.103059, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.759246077402164, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.583308167358428 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3009289385.79278, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.1843163211945, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.2035792346271954 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2477249076.458844, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.679931742216702, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.595236354275935 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2720702503.366937, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.827571608427132, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4730878074141964 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2143476596.105417, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.216061166084444, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.69311719513425 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2099896667.7170076, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.0331422543913846, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.359705496398915 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1988114905.878981, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.323202972627927, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.928621719654807 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2293035380.2367506, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.337165545919929, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.273708325762569 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3240122860.673495, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.302785321130095, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.554763037568442 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3365018038.2532873, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.854643263553026, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.174124941815318 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3430467068.919588, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.944983055730476, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.37053859859725 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "170114", "hs_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, other than as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1002028574.0873026, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9568158867625342, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "020714", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 774282539.4758246, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8646896093283807, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "100590", "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1114946654.6516287, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.078099524759896, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8467284232607706, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "020712", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, not cut in pieces, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 610584890.5347251, "current_below_peak_pct": 69.07224407436848, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5556166981518967, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "020230", "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 515638580.8868074, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8127108554673217, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "230400", "hs_description": "Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of soya-bean oil", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 719777224.6030346, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.96538264675485, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8441254626354366, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "120190", "hs_description": "Soya beans: other than seed, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 171613942.5553314, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.49441657992827, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8965467307997842, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "730511", "hs_description": "Iron or steel (excluding cast iron): line pipe of a kind used for oil or gas pipelines (not seamless), longitudinally submerged arc welded, having circular cross-sections, external diameter exceeds 406.4mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 968073198.1321609, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7994718039175601, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "020130", "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 242124469.72367942, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8076799445722457, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "730429", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: casing and tubing, of a kind used in drilling for oil or gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 376777538.214141, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2275435241462316, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "distance_km": 11390, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "importer_population": 35340.679, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-SAU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-SAU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-SAU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-SAU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-SAU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }