{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.600Z", "seo": { "title": "Brazil exports to Russia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Brazil to Russia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BRA", "country_name": "Brazil" }, "importer": { "iso3": "RUS", "country_name": "Russia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "all_history_lane_count": 272, "current_lane_count": 93, "current_product_count": 93, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1425726829, "attention_trade_usd": 1140143606, "critical_trade_usd": 417923303, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 172691832, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 511443211, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 5281851, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1059130083, "access_friction_trade_usd": 1425726829, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 4, "high_attention_lane_count": 24, "high_volatility_lane_count": 56, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 42, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 66, "access_friction_lane_count": 93, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9262419942614637, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 45.3440707031836, "product_concentration_hhi": 1956.073003641022, "top1_product_share_pct": 34.00656424064529, "top3_product_share_pct": 70.98194565853962, "top_product_hs6": "120190", "top_product_trade_usd": 484840710, "top_product_description": "Soya beans: other than seed, whether or not broken", "top_attention_product_hs6": "120190", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 11820.1513671875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00009999999747378752, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.701394466704979, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.920816987624521, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.504952727318007, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1775799.919353, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12380, "buyer_population_latest": 143446.06, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.12549554382431, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.397317436553406, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26532954061908587, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.657999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.309999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 79.96928884333985, "critical_trade_share_pct": 29.312999832733034, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1775799.919353, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12380, "buyer_population_2024": 143446.06 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 403497160.52262026, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 436192648.8809908, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.103028114503319, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 711047697.207076, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.01230638141166, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 616052787.5840731, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.359850541128726, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.14872885041314 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 693349004.9905337, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.547012036028171, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.705462707765008 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 378119030.2780138, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.464834079746566, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.982917386552888 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 943181075.8298659, "yoy_growth_pct": 149.44025566139518, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.254807699100192 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1186618242.0114117, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.810225885560257, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.615201063202626 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1399214982.9001622, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.916186803970113, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.67447021762099 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1436034874.1418924, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.63146776526173, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.042056386955283 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 2505279470.062753, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.458121816839, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.286725410477587 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 3041281643.0218744, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.394905413314834, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.536074285730642 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 3705304179.0299587, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.833641666554083, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.15752081956756 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 4393352927.627912, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.569291894898686, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.590557883237626 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 3005698475.382732, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.58531707113299, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3915328688948394 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 3893046872.7795377, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.522202731390568, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6612055508894885 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 4076189651.138047, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.704355851429809, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4667349131738514 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 3136120210.7586346, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.062455892280454, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.425952934391761 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 3105546004.3592157, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9749054355292941, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.256650202015836 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 3737175198.537907, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.33874859017002, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.852933269894098 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 2575033570.007326, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.09679281252977, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.359570292635652 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 2351110961.5672617, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.695910261062245, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.859434329796944 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 2901644333.4372373, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.415882145476765, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.089123721373815 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1957174058.2036028, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.54948459223572, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.739638416843597 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1795457091.4892957, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.262778981586305, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.59555806143023 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1672442397.6484792, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.851441586876261, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.778476199361858 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1794773973.476439, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.314546438189007, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8461301587251464 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1980549196.4395874, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.350897979833395, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3245528917738687 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1356195298.5849924, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.524281193165482, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.748243293766121 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1450252285, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.935357062005987, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.8582060345441125 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "120190", "hs_description": "Soya beans: other than seed, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 630624900.3878491, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.46996061453218, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9580371841840402, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 757630564.1382945, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9977570188567969, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "020230", "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 627103598.5583795, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.22869803548616, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8227998462938435, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "020714", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 265317312.64325514, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.8288812400494, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6443452246102357, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "120242", "hs_description": "Ground-nuts: other than seed, not roasted or otherwise cooked, shelled, whether or not broken,", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 202993962.41676256, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.46326484221143, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0802670847724682, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "210111", "hs_description": "Extracts, essences and concentrates: of coffee, and preparations with a basis of these extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of coffee", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 295817343.55884707, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.16893975623626, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5766832576636657, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 282220330.05565286, "current_below_peak_pct": 87.69229656750944, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.726495300022809, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "170114", "hs_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, other than as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28679922.88243499, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.36739980599837, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8557559472446737, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "020629", "hs_description": "Offal, edible: of bovine animals, (other than tongues and livers), frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53945459.031865835, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.469721864651436, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1917731275880767, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "020621", "hs_description": "Offal, edible: of bovine animals, tongues, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40598035.10817381, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1467331212594802, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "distance_km": 11791, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617, "importer_population": 143446.06, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.701394466704979, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.920816987624521, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.504952727318007 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-RUS/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-RUS/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-RUS/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-RUS/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-RUS/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }