{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.210Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Brazil exports to Mozambique: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Brazil to Mozambique, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BRA",
    "country_name": "Brazil"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MOZ",
    "country_name": "Mozambique"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
    "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
    "all_history_lane_count": 61,
    "current_lane_count": 26,
    "current_product_count": 26,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 14149599.052565236,
    "attention_trade_usd": 9912675.04593297,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 12028094.941363966,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1503427.292371586,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3499932.077386567,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 14149599.052565236,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 16,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 17,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 21,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 26,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0691088343470603,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.1162908598316,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4996.460156194292,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 70.0562256860265,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 80.53452472540657,
    "top_product_hs6": "020714",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 9912675.04593297,
    "top_product_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "020714",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 7878.60498046875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.4000000059604645,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 16095.828897,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 500,
    "buyer_population_latest": 32163.044,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.954483087134578,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.817694878255674,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.9926132343610856,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.316,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 8.148,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 70.0562256860265,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 16095.828897,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 500,
    "buyer_population_2024": 32163.044
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 5572579.202289074,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 13402370.01281072,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 140.5056891305442,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 7950938.558800501,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.67513021054815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 4500973.370990214,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.39066592322853,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.871330595465253
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 5601132.506396467,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.442693718141626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.23504417386111
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 3552881.54960716,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.56851457183371,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.54824775155834
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 2976046.0148430965,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.23570971083581,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.881364205231272
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 21035203.351655245,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 606.817140821805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.437912790184086
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10640626.502795696,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.415147907479614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.143641750250254
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 21166069.132489458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 98.91750854076429,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.30925678987568
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 29690515.928915206,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.274113927658426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.173518697846909
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 32803434.970662322,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.48455691777146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.54055983562322
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 27123425.696618244,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.31528810663877,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.617910338401845
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 29993813.792667653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.58269013713593,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.339357440214072
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 104469127.69086422,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 248.3022479668889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.12604094063912
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 33102182.760790154,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.31390910169826,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.865461101474257
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 70823869.87280732,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 113.95528622571338,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.16271894773812
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 183408619.0192006,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 158.9644131965457,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.636091354844076
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 113147844.15035272,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.308327735400724,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.63638464061597
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 72683885.5462145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.76202349058373,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8678647693849628
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 59186358.32032803,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.57017841637588,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.408975017045172
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 44201720.85250123,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.31772167283387,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.89771289760319
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 30821499.01165213,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.270816571821225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.871415384584083
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 30040745.422425464,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.5331460644775983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.231817789910767
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 34296260.10350965,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.165809207608525,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.10980025758099
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 34326363.05105978,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.0877732658292052,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.655259887373652
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 29804956.924751587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.171818172471973,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.26231938919381026
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 76666538.24051298,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 157.22747539636637,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.75341178772737
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 29332377.519023553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.74031305938969,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.105765923624983
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "export_value_usd": 31831379.64834278,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.519603048537405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2168095298659596
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "020714",
      "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54396298.255605884,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0848849718594318,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "640299",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.s. in heading no. 6402, (other than just covering the ankle), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 72800197.18180467,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 29.82402223424907,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0987947811259156,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 127854644.2788182,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.47093656776671,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.720656909416094,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "490199",
      "hs_description": "Printed matter: books, brochures, leaflets and similar printed matter n.e.c. in item no. 4901.10 or 4901.91",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16373517.857220333,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.729394422459027,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7166615432810169,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "640220",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics, upper straps or thongs assembled to the sole by plugs",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12987835.881690627,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 47.71763172733624,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.898720296762697,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "871639",
      "hs_description": "Trailers and semi-trailers: (other than tanker type)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21027264.252537537,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.95214589380905,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0525957907962558,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "190531",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16542072.595247282,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.38214330444958,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6600076145393977,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "040711",
      "hs_description": "Birds' eggs, in shell: fresh, fertilised eggs for incubation, of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus (domestic hens)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10539808.676820152,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.83416515336448,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2263844730574702,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "330499",
      "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15318381.382092182,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2051020570915676,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
      "hs_code": "170490",
      "hs_description": "Sugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white chocolate), not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15207996.693443257,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.45403246652701,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.787716280421424,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
    "importer_iso3": "MOZ",
    "distance_km": 7873,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 16095.828897000001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 500.4448240968734,
    "importer_population": 32163.044,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 106.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-MOZ/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-MOZ/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-MOZ/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-MOZ/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-MOZ/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}