{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.596Z", "seo": { "title": "Brazil exports to Mexico: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Brazil to Mexico, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BRA", "country_name": "Brazil" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MEX", "country_name": "Mexico" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "all_history_lane_count": 1433, "current_lane_count": 1244, "current_product_count": 1244, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 9925587237.242273, "attention_trade_usd": 6495013867.088886, "critical_trade_usd": 739082616.8136462, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 5868816623.436501, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1653871735.6882827, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 7415645369.613898, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 13, "high_attention_lane_count": 378, "high_volatility_lane_count": 749, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 526, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 884, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2812998271649525, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 23.465371574650142, "product_concentration_hhi": 186.07556655199795, "top1_product_share_pct": 7.072433000907133, "top3_product_share_pct": 16.872774469691546, "top_product_hs6": "120190", "top_product_trade_usd": 701980507.300549, "top_product_description": "Soya beans: other than seed, whether or not broken", "top_attention_product_hs6": "120190", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 7439.6357421875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.05939999967813492, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 12.98558755858586, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 11.153066833939393, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.447229586464644, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9926, "buyer_population_latest": 130262.222, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.317392234827791, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.467884470952012, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7979004824760771, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.68, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.506, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 65.43707401733, "critical_trade_share_pct": 7.446235664933745, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9926, "buyer_population_2024": 130262.222 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 544605821.7477584, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 655640560.9569846, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.388092593812466, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 840644451.8139062, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.217273590713575, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 986248427.6457459, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.32051826639214, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.88998251731742 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1063832889.8076522, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.866624674586986, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.508477653483222 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1686592168.0429223, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.539201429264786, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.124437618690678 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1918573602.1850586, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.75444749108028, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.833375385871648 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2376385656.8156037, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.862105373968667, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.721744962413865 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2903059311.036575, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.162802266982307, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.843718689946233 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4043331095.099044, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.27828066507259, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.209521802546078 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4512417364.893123, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.601480530809427, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.831399100413584 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4836470246.750318, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.181358807328997, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.54708257799029 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4837907763.687187, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.029722439372714682, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.162896586982436 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4601741912.728442, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.881569936727203, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6555358753888685 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2981706864.2442255, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.20482198280593, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.89034927733166 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 3897772698.123858, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.722866988194973, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.949300614655096 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4142185078.1078544, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.270565241057824, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4462644696613087 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4167762879.0918403, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6174953678233397, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.80966657281366 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 3893676169.104485, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.57635086109023, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.03504535637336437 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4244819501.924448, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.018298327072305, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8191990035732344 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4190486239.9394794, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2799899256101699, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.1814097787879998 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4402129464.633934, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.050564840836014, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.175995818252076 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 5116772549.415115, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.23403151866658, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.425482566426921 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 5654200245.2461195, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.503255531505618, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.501690492710235 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 5806287862.626676, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.6898166103761056, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.667661828901553 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4757607082.539463, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.06112278444296, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3967782701328266 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 7530730228.892124, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.28819190491985, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.024305294227576 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 9978968294.552347, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.50996903683261, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.78313989676508 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 10935672118.441082, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.587201759234087, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.97316621417199 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 10056292341.927292, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.041387552493195, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.120185234510437 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "120190", "hs_description": "Soya beans: other than seed, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2978497269.9673777, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.86310511480124, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5860633535869506, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "020714", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 831489324.3166578, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8844421417056332, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "870431", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. not exceeding 5 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3408959264.798507, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7201832844989263, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5141811397.760683, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.05534976376651, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6626112115751135, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "720712", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (other than square) cross-section", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 900610083.5435474, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.74485322356135, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5450690035174357, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "870321", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity not exceeding 1000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1128536112.7933207, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.710600713616135, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5830608421784456, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 349827760.2357849, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3372411805909599, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "840999", "hs_description": "Engines: parts for internal combustion piston engines (excluding spark-ignition)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1330650754.470614, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.8937386777909393, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8556537379756665, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "470329", "hs_description": "Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, soda or sulphate, (other than dissolving grades), semi-bleached or bleached, of non-coniferous wood", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 407413104.66751087, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7901322753576291, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "440711", "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 499525423.81377965, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.598918863677724, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2802157046240938, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "distance_km": 7422, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624, "importer_population": 130262.222, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 15.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 12.98558755858586, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 11.153066833939393, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.447229586464644 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-MEX/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-MEX/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-MEX/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-MEX/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-MEX/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }