{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.693Z", "seo": { "title": "Brazil exports to Sri Lanka: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Brazil to Sri Lanka, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BRA", "country_name": "Brazil" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LKA", "country_name": "Sri Lanka" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "all_history_lane_count": 34, "current_lane_count": 13, "current_product_count": 13, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 44887121.65075562, "attention_trade_usd": 42671115.94237472, "critical_trade_usd": 16841175.633581452, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 31228563.488364983, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 18457785.714205846, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 35022713.46096203, "access_friction_trade_usd": 44887121.65075562, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 6, "high_volatility_lane_count": 8, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9, "access_friction_lane_count": 13, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.258040743188645, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 40.284045284026604, "product_concentration_hhi": 2366.8662136894313, "top1_product_share_pct": 37.518947560537, "top3_product_share_pct": 79.5620256325022, "top_product_hs6": "170199", "top_product_trade_usd": 16841175.633581452, "top_product_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "top_attention_product_hs6": "170199", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 14036.6708984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 22.03442695676767, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 20.862373825252526, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.1149966410100964, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 84518.83039300001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3815, "buyer_population_latest": 22156, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1452073861579324, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.039656303460391, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.1034412369869564, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.916000000000004, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.772, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 95.0631592606393, "critical_trade_share_pct": 37.518947560537, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 84518.83039300001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3815, "buyer_population_2024": 22156 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 42024225.467132, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 24454639.314913753, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.80823312486693, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 26796843.49027373, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.577749829790271, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 25005817.291887898, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.683720786128811, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.890100912875738 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 41927971.72907735, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.67287083505622, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.68715139524364 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 9673629.746512666, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.92798065926014, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.79640186545075 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 11031922.462191807, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.041189825037526, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.873350545724925 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 13911575.685879854, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.102913916926873, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.770559297912847 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 12951049.086298369, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.904513343922735, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.214439444648216 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 25638658.90695366, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.96588474116908, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.458968261433775 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 26213444.09369601, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.241869158711962, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.513924403166662 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 53753357.9432313, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.06026507275435, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.70653969975424 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 11092512.658748856, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.36405634330117, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.366962439897645 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 18864461.1079861, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.06481478393785, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.386500061559845 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 68350390.14968161, "yoy_growth_pct": 262.3235763715831, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.337414320709113 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 79757976.676284, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.68986307411082, "cagr_3y_pct": 93.01070558634879 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 43625280.17904214, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.30292517812317, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.240538353059044 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 105054550.53109227, "yoy_growth_pct": 140.81117668457094, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.404999566724387 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 105310872.54021277, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.2439894396051301, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.706668691684328 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 112303852.0653641, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.64032056374908, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.05203061597429 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 115456458.8756465, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8072116426135496, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.197170093933277 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 168703166.20380652, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.11843100567452, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.008301225833478 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 96837453.02141804, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.59891192295059, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.819152291494133 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 39106778.678332046, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.61606025544415, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.292752103190857 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 25443994.349498704, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.937125456471065, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.77029994089254 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 21960683.218547575, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.69011124237951, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.018117100270175 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 27504671.549628742, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.245063078906483, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.069348650286104 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 30802561.08035274, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.990288721584497, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.577904981080596 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 40179806.42834006, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.443070378224334, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.30775584068059 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 53658686.83812395, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.54640454483826, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.952377993857834 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "170199", "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 340073916.57369614, "current_below_peak_pct": 87.48060632172266, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0751183789936396, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "400260", "hs_description": "Rubber: synthetic, isoprene rubber (IR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10570059.688032273, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.92762918196202, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.72574431104116, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "480257", "hs_description": "Uncoated paper and paperboard (not 4801 or 4803): printing, writing or graphic, 10% or less by weight of mechanical or chemi-mechanical processed fibre, weight 40-150g/m2, n.e.c. in item no. 4802.55 or 4802.56", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57548764.939549595, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.319353498165326, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "252490", "hs_description": "Asbestos: other than crocidolite (blue asbestos)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18326203.368867613, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.335446967030835, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6954054893609745, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "240110", "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43923542.61817527, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4148906070096012, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "520942", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, of yarns of different colours, weighing more than 200g/m2, denim", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57780254.59297991, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.89088924282176, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.188636159904545, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 292913935.2022579, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.257026183926413, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7008861949892768, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "480421", "hs_description": "Kraft paper and paperboard: sack kraft paper, uncoated, unbleached, in rolls or sheets, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16597237.033891322, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.9987038183304895, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6905805095859344, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "480255", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: uncoated, for printing & writing, containing no, or not more than 10% by weight of total fibres obtained by mechanical or chemi-mechanical process, weighing 40g/m2 to 150g/m2, in rolls", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34220412.64183956, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6351359027083328, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "540231", "hs_description": "Yarn, synthetic: filament, monofilament (less than 67 decitex), textured, of nylon or other polyamides, measuring per single yarn not more than 50 decitex, not for retail sale, not sewing thread", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38219404.42369136, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7856241781789213, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "distance_km": 14034, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733, "importer_population": 22156, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 22.03442695676767, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 20.862373825252526, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.1149966410100964 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-LKA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-LKA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-LKA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-LKA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-LKA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }