{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.615Z", "seo": { "title": "Brazil exports to Italy: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Brazil to Italy, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "BRA", "country_name": "Brazil" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "all_history_lane_count": 601, "current_lane_count": 396, "current_product_count": 396, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4408881182.879046, "attention_trade_usd": 3168340360.7433014, "critical_trade_usd": 218263500.8492175, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 918551510.5817415, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 648722450.8229203, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 4083218.442793025, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2112568403.7922099, "access_friction_trade_usd": 4408881182.879046, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 8, "high_attention_lane_count": 109, "high_volatility_lane_count": 220, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 215, "declining_demand_lane_count": 6, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 88, "access_friction_lane_count": 396, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7853593095040093, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.83161442217846, "product_concentration_hhi": 1118.323873178038, "top1_product_share_pct": 21.490142377701243, "top3_product_share_pct": 53.3949184471543, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 947474843.4643859, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "470329", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 9482.515625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.022044319659471512, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9276811614959601, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868686, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.644805611296719, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.275607515571966, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 35551, "buyer_population_latest": 59066.223, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3456337761183397, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6164129413341017, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26132844935394806, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.387999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.601999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 71.86268418951452, "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.9505416861038904, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 35551, "buyer_population_2024": 59066.223 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1829926099.0956326, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1680489898.3232303, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.166242387944255, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1782313808.7903545, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.059180157448307, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2060790883.5268602, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.624469347825265, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.039947506857922 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1902763610.677031, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.668282799241599, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.227657455691314 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2238072676.2093234, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.62221348205122, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.885564359759933 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1914258113.359501, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.468456109221394, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.428677694939263 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1893881422.5424757, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0644693458430443, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.1558442828448081 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2252314244.532694, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.925832299945867, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.21166227735884835 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3021706211.9742947, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.160063113272756, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.43509815896167 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3285235041.555246, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.721192964976199, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.153904330664886 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3954004222.2383137, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.356813811606898, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.633903693242274 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 4686508796.059246, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.525639646542167, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.75303841787048 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 5006530916.495342, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.828582519789439, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.077429372223406 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3110335432.470276, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.87443872118212, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.688310470136839 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 4136606767.046701, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.99551951415558, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.075045796274857 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 5376659855.437068, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.97754338819336, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.405956896822947 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 4316766615.842604, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.71285645906469, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.545087160338108 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3992205423.9055076, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.5186180032515875, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1774140624142504 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3876732857.2497344, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.8924505228192454, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.329187639004822 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3253192601.148199, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.08416878494673, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.998112096463052 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3306639176.5053186, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6428961303507128, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.087231788764102 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3507289025.3762836, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.068090231817358, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.283205607336348 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3610560595.3271112, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.9444841643681663, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.535262132445549 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3190851024.38663, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.62449874082382, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1811246081409932 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3074937942.709624, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.6326698047361217, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.2905252056021475 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 4207978304.4108696, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.84758466061317, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.236473088583615 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 5069209992.070374, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.466638023222394, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.683984623953265 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 4280064445.1412597, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.56742664366938, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.65323678190262 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 4482543715.893832, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.730752850752684, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.1292981169608094 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2560435823.245683, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.49591042128432705, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "470329", "hs_description": "Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, soda or sulphate, (other than dissolving grades), semi-bleached or bleached, of non-coniferous wood", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1459306274.428382, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6901479957136913, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "120190", "hs_description": "Soya beans: other than seed, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1200575630.0718093, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.971750679859358, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7137914371971785, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38899590405.9718, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.388521988515792, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "230400", "hs_description": "Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of soya-bean oil", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 820967884.7385734, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.817138354681994, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.43462746671440927, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "020230", "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 292973620.4573925, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.727011633356758, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4427322217739283, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "410411", "hs_description": "Tanned or crust hides and skins: without hair on, bovine or equine, in the wet state (including wet blue), full grains, unsplit: grain splits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 359375597.54985774, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.04528601804455, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3353867653885612, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "840999", "hs_description": "Engines: parts for internal combustion piston engines (excluding spark-ignition)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1144952687.5431356, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.56921097930684, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6498863973807179, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "760110", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1477045710.2372344, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.2996834347342547, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.184714651184564, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "260111", "hs_description": "Iron ores and concentrates: non-agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 219184249.96714574, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.71158823181815, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7494864878805763, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "BRA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "distance_km": 9457, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "importer_population": 59066.223, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9276811614959601, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868686, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.644805611296719, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.275607515571966 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-ITA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-ITA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-ITA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-ITA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-ITA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }