{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.324Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Brazil exports to Guatemala: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Brazil to Guatemala, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "BRA",
    "country_name": "Brazil"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GTM",
    "country_name": "Guatemala"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
    "importer_iso3": "GTM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 310,
    "current_lane_count": 276,
    "current_product_count": 276,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 526665758.87341595,
    "attention_trade_usd": 325237733.07386917,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 404392624.1533212,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 42911872.65176873,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 378300289.6768587,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 34,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 155,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 99,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 142,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2736811436943163,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 19.712798135629374,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 596.9805945030721,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 21.576773692517403,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 30.915554437327074,
    "top_product_hs6": "100590",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 113637478.90809636,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "100590",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 6390.67236328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.05159999802708626,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 85986.321551,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5026,
    "buyer_population_latest": 17109.747,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.963421520392089,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.390193560081858,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4787339957434753,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.206,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.184,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 61.75410639369855,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 85986.321551,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5026,
    "buyer_population_2024": 17109.747
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 57675398.99630212,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 43148796.12533885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.186826833906505,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 57644371.5343877,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.59439129412098,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 87688607.75910117,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.119982272320556,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.987559269301197
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 75308516.41684,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.118243701932009,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.399625564450584
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 79541092.294439,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.6203150440134575,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.329830362498218
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 75007207.53693719,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.700053427376417,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.073688184200453
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 100435560.94114412,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.90121328231661,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.073085151593798
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 147803398.48742092,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.16241648118502,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.941249620742866
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 216990646.89930224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.810323118361616,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.488343985843954
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 385489976.3352046,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.6528075489341,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.56999106234326
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 373256476.3266532,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1734936728714636,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.178217105426434
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 339055163.6989713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.162952231738597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.0405511277802
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 263842589.99328452,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.182990191078144,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.872671738490181
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 233744846.53793108,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.407462099321986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.44509811452196
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 237990584.07552934,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.816398350801407,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.12837170964902
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 258944263.5714186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.804415341591554,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6227142253979578
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 234565011.00701016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.414864893380614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.11682354809385842
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 240406736.40152755,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4904504595286037,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.33727127476277374
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 203810701.8736975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.222549532350593,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.670553926241508
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 220421820.49842566,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.150268102713355,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0516514445178102
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 197423692.66073498,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.433689271636759,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.355082222735642
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 270962909.94057304,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.24943865081705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.958199780445565
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 238287128.9388414,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.059134222059399,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.631812775732101
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 297744238.0206424,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.951876060859846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.678331334932748
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 263840031.2241583,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.387023648845073,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8840349168747097
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 375826524.3878323,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.444845326951295,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.40249281220363
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 633231277.1467588,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.49031030425596,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.59961370315409
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 625395084.3885622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2374930046894161,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.33308402393271
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 655859268.6714994,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.871190235324829,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.394804057032488
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 448981614.84400237,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 26.45988778974858,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3612514734699372,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "120740",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29550089.313237946,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.274271427219865,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1378959346471946,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 536205592.61456096,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2163100782818062,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "843359",
      "hs_description": "Harvesting machinery: n.e.c. in heading no. 8433",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18059952.622895725,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6085707618939549,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "100610",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice in the husk (paddy or rough)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69269422.39125864,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.325317368878235,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2078078474289031,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "440711",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46027508.61924847,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.796538169516705,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1239140834897317,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "842959",
      "hs_description": "Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders: n.e.c. in item no. 8429.50",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33895004.53005884,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4525665698743835,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "071333",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: kidney beans, including white pea beans (phaseolus vulgaris), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40727153.03401084,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0784216565590548,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "850423",
      "hs_description": "Electrical transformers: liquid dielectric, having a power handling capacity exceeding 10,000kVA",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16403042.613126464,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7245964927356618,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "870422",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 5 tonnes but not exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 139416714.0246299,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5650814287047246,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "BRA",
    "importer_iso3": "GTM",
    "distance_km": 6375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668,
    "importer_population": 17109.747,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-GTM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-GTM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-GTM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-GTM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/BRA-GTM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}